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Depresión Tropical #4 en el Atlántico

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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

18z track and intensity Invest 94L.

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

El Euro como ya mencionaron antes, más al sur!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
katrina23
Invest
Invest
Posts: 213
Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2015 6:47 am

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by katrina23 »

Hola!!! Al fin se ve foro activado esperemos que llegue. Buen comienzo antes de tiempo. :D
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

Subieron los números
40%-70%

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 3 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a nearly stationary area
of low pressure located about 700 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands have become a little better organized since yesterday.
Additional development is likely, and a tropical depression could
form during the next several days before environmental conditions
become a little less conducive for development at the end of the
week. The disturbance is expected to begin moving slowly
northwestward on Tuesday, followed by a faster west-northwestward
motion across the tropical Atlantic Ocean through the remainder of
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

En posible ruta al Caribe! Posssiiiibleeeeeee

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

Vía Twitter Weather Channel

#Invest94L is likely to develop into a #tropical depression later this week, and could threaten the Lesser Antilles: wxch.nl/2uEpvuG

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
hurrizonepr
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by hurrizonepr »

Buenas Noches a todos: Seguimos observando el progreso del Invest 94l y su futura trayectoria. Ahora los modelos presentan una ruta hacia el Noroeste a principio seguido de una ONO bastante persistente. El resultado para nosotros es que hay una tendencia mas a la izquierda que los modelos anteriores.Pero aun no representa una amenaza inminente al Caribe. Solo hay que observar, esta bien distante.
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by Arlequín »

Image
Tremendo cambio al sur que han dado los modelos :shock:
User avatar
CarlosP
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 512
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:47 pm

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by CarlosP »

Oigan pero no le estoy echando sal jajaja
Siempre recuerden esto:

Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Obi-Wan
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 444
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 7:22 pm

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by Obi-Wan »

Menos mal Carlos P, no la sales.... jaja

Si tomaramos la imagen de los modelos que posteo Arlequin dos post mas arriba e hicieramos un cono de trayectoria con ella, quedaríamos dentro del cono y casi en el mismo centro, muy interesante.

Las condiciones en el Caribe estan bien hostiles, si se forma Don y viene para aca le espera una catimba. Pero a un sistema como este que ha estado casi estacionario no hay q quitarle ojo del encima.
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