Depresión Tropical #4 en el Atlántico
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
18z track and intensity Invest 94L.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
El Euro como ya mencionaron antes, más al sur!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
Hola!!! Al fin se ve foro activado esperemos que llegue. Buen comienzo antes de tiempo.
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
Subieron los números
40%-70%
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 3 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a nearly stationary area
of low pressure located about 700 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands have become a little better organized since yesterday.
Additional development is likely, and a tropical depression could
form during the next several days before environmental conditions
become a little less conducive for development at the end of the
week. The disturbance is expected to begin moving slowly
northwestward on Tuesday, followed by a faster west-northwestward
motion across the tropical Atlantic Ocean through the remainder of
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
40%-70%
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 3 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a nearly stationary area
of low pressure located about 700 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands have become a little better organized since yesterday.
Additional development is likely, and a tropical depression could
form during the next several days before environmental conditions
become a little less conducive for development at the end of the
week. The disturbance is expected to begin moving slowly
northwestward on Tuesday, followed by a faster west-northwestward
motion across the tropical Atlantic Ocean through the remainder of
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
En posible ruta al Caribe! Posssiiiibleeeeeee
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
Vía Twitter Weather Channel
#Invest94L is likely to develop into a #tropical depression later this week, and could threaten the Lesser Antilles: wxch.nl/2uEpvuG
#Invest94L is likely to develop into a #tropical depression later this week, and could threaten the Lesser Antilles: wxch.nl/2uEpvuG
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
Buenas Noches a todos: Seguimos observando el progreso del Invest 94l y su futura trayectoria. Ahora los modelos presentan una ruta hacia el Noroeste a principio seguido de una ONO bastante persistente. El resultado para nosotros es que hay una tendencia mas a la izquierda que los modelos anteriores.Pero aun no representa una amenaza inminente al Caribe. Solo hay que observar, esta bien distante.
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
Tremendo cambio al sur que han dado los modelos
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
Oigan pero no le estoy echando sal jajaja
Siempre recuerden esto:
Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este
Menos mal Carlos P, no la sales.... jaja
Si tomaramos la imagen de los modelos que posteo Arlequin dos post mas arriba e hicieramos un cono de trayectoria con ella, quedaríamos dentro del cono y casi en el mismo centro, muy interesante.
Las condiciones en el Caribe estan bien hostiles, si se forma Don y viene para aca le espera una catimba. Pero a un sistema como este que ha estado casi estacionario no hay q quitarle ojo del encima.
Si tomaramos la imagen de los modelos que posteo Arlequin dos post mas arriba e hicieramos un cono de trayectoria con ella, quedaríamos dentro del cono y casi en el mismo centro, muy interesante.
Las condiciones en el Caribe estan bien hostiles, si se forma Don y viene para aca le espera una catimba. Pero a un sistema como este que ha estado casi estacionario no hay q quitarle ojo del encima.