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Huracan Fiona Cat 1 - Al sur de Puerto Rico

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Rickster
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by Rickster »

Obi-Wan wrote: Fri Sep 16, 2022 5:27 pm Imagen de radar con el centro de Fiona casi pasando sobre Guadalupe. Hay una regla urbana que dice que sistema que pase sobre Guadalupe, se mete en Puerto Rico.

Image
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by StormWatch »

Georges_98 wrote: Fri Sep 16, 2022 5:25 pm
StormWatch wrote: Fri Sep 16, 2022 5:06 pm Mencionó lo anterior pq ahora casi todos los meteorólogos dicen esto:

Fiona is going to impact Puerto Rico/Hispaniola this weekend into early next week.
Pronostican una ralentización en su velocidad de traslación una vez se divorcie del shear y se disipe la Alta que esta al norte de nosotros. Entonces comenzará a girar al norte y a ganar intensidad. La incertidumbre, hermano StormWatch, es en que punto hará estos dos movimientos.
Veremos entonces! :D

Mientras tanto!
Imagen actual:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by Rickster »

Parece que está pasándola mal. ADT ha bajado los final T numbers de 2.7 a 2.2.
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by fanatica »

FIONA NO TE ENTIENDO JAJAJAJA
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by StormWatch »

Rickster wrote: Fri Sep 16, 2022 7:08 pm Parece que está pasándola mal. ADT ha bajado los final T numbers de 2.7 a 2.2.

En rojo es la conclusión verdad?

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Rickster
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by Rickster »

The “Raw T#” value is the unadjusted Raw “DT” number determined using the
current scene type and measured environmental parameters (Section 5B and 5C) for the
selected scene type (cloud curvature, eye/cloud temperatures, etc.). The “Adj T#” value
represents the current intensity of the storm after any Constraint Limit (Dvorak “Rule 8”)
rules have been applied (see Section 5F). The “Final T#” value is the average of the
current and previous three hour analyses values (see Section 5D). Finally, the “CI#” value
represents the 3-hour averaged value after various ADT rules and constraints governing
its variability, listed next to the Constraint Limits and Weakening Flag labels at the end of
18
the intensity bulletin, have been applied. For more details on these rules, see Sections 5E,
5F, and 5G.

The EIR Rule 9 will hold the CI# at values 0.5 to 1.0 higher in value than the current Final T# (Raw T#
after adjustments and time-averaging). Subjective application of this rule (e.g. how and
when to apply it) varies between forecasters and is the focal point of much debate

https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/misc/adt/g ... _Guide.pdf
StormWatch
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by StormWatch »

8pm advisory:

NHC forecasts Fiona will strengthen as it enters the Caribbean and approaches Puerto Rico/Hispaniola.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
David.79
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Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by David.79 »

StormWatch wrote: Fri Sep 16, 2022 7:56 pm 8pm advisory:

NHC forecasts Fiona will strengthen as it enters the Caribbean and approaches Puerto Rico/Hispaniola.
Nos leen.

Obvio, no lo dicen.

Pero nos leen.🧐
StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by StormWatch »

CycloForum Twitter

Observaciónes de la Isla de Guadalupe indican vientos de tormenta entre 35 y 70 mph. El centro se encuentra justo al nortenoroeste de esa isla. Avión cazahuracán se encuentra volando por la tormenta. #Fiona
LMR

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
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Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Tormenta Tropical Fiona al este de las Antillas

Post by StormWatch »

David.79 wrote: Fri Sep 16, 2022 8:03 pm
StormWatch wrote: Fri Sep 16, 2022 7:56 pm 8pm advisory:

NHC forecasts Fiona will strengthen as it enters the Caribbean and approaches Puerto Rico/Hispaniola.
Nos leen.

Obvio, no lo dicen.

Pero nos leen.🧐
:lol:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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