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Tormenta Tropical Elsa

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Arlequín
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by Arlequín »

StormWatch wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 1:41 am 5am: DT
11am: Tormenta Tropical Elsa

Leer mi disclaimer..!! :mrgreen:

Image
No me sorprenderia... Danny fue de 60% a tormenta Danny... este ya tiene 70%
y la organización que ha estado adquiriendo pues esta a tiro de hit para que la clasifiquen
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by StormWatch »

Up
50/70 Código ROJO!

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that continues to show some signs of organization.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for development, and a tropical depression is likely form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 20 mph.
Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely monitor this system as it will likely be moving through that region on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...70 percent.

Image
Last edited by StormWatch on Wed Jun 30, 2021 1:49 am, edited 2 times in total.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by StormWatch »

Nada mal!!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by Arlequín »

El EURO ya esta corriendo
Image
StormWatch
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by StormWatch »

Arlequín wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 1:56 am El EURO ya esta corriendo
Image
En 72 horas el Euro con “nacarile del oriente” como dicen los del campo… :lol:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Georges_98
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by Georges_98 »

En este reporte, ya la proyección empieza a subirlo más al norte. Estamos a ley de una vaguada en el Este de E.U para que recibamos el impacto directo, muy probablemente como un huracán. En Julio!!! Increíble!!!
Arlequín
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by Arlequín »

StormWatch wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 2:12 am
Arlequín wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 1:56 am El EURO ya esta corriendo
En 72 horas el Euro con “nacarile del oriente” como dicen los del campo… :lol:
Eso es practicamente orita jejeje
Arlequín
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by Arlequín »

Georges_98 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 2:15 am En este reporte, ya la proyección empieza a subirlo más al norte. Estamos a ley de una vaguada en el Este de E.U para que recibamos el impacto directo, muy probablemente como un huracán. En Julio!!! Increíble!!!
Si parece que esa vaguada sera bastante fuerte... incluso el EURO y el GFS estan de acuerdo en mostrar esa vaguada... cosa que muchas veces no estan tan de acuerdo
GFS
Image
EURO
Image
StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by StormWatch »

Up to 80

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that continues to show some signs of organization.

Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 20 mph. Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely monitor this system as it will likely be moving through that region on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...80 percent.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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Georges1998
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Re: Invest 97L en el Atlántico tropical.

Post by Georges1998 »

Mejorando! 8-)

Image
Ed Barbosa ☈
Las proyecciones bajo Georges1998 no son oficiales de NHC o NWS
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