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Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

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Vigilante
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Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by Vigilante »

Tomaré prestado el término lowlowlandia del amigo Villafañe, para indicar lo que muestra el GFS 12z.

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Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
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emanuelrgz
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Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by emanuelrgz »

Bueno, dos días después seguimos viendo esta sorpresita justo al sur de la Isla. Ya veremos en una semana.

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hurrizonepr
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Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by hurrizonepr »

GFS 12z del 6-21-17 muestra a largo plazo un sistema saliendo de Africa para el 4 de Julio y llegando al centro del Atlantico para el dia 7 como Tormenta.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... s=0&ypos=0
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StormWatch
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Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by StormWatch »

El UKMET le tiene el ojo a un nuevo sistema! Ojooooo


NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.1N 34.3W
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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StormWatch
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Posts: 3755
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Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by StormWatch »

BOOOMMMMMMM

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Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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StormWatch
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Posts: 3755
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Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by StormWatch »

Algo se está cocinando!



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Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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hurrizonepr
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Posts: 451
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Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by hurrizonepr »

ECMWF y CMC Ppronostican situaciones parecidas para la proxima semana pero con horas de diferencia :
12Z 8-10-17 :
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... =0&ypos=88

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 012&fh=240
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StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by StormWatch »

Modelos y modelos, esto mismo dijeron del Invest 99L
Para el sábado 19 de Agosto!
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Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Top
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by StormWatch »

Acción próxima semanaaaaa

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Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Top
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017

Post by StormWatch »

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Top
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