Huracán Matthew
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
Via Twitter:
11:15z #97L has 50mph, 1007.3mb
11:15z #97L has 50mph, 1007.3mb
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
Via twitter:
11:25z #97L max surface winds: 45mph, max flight winds: 55mph, lowest pressure: 1006.4mb
11:25z #97L max surface winds: 45mph, max flight winds: 55mph, lowest pressure: 1006.4mb
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
Saludos compañeros,
No suelo comentar mucho pero siempre me mantengo informado con ustedes de todos los eventos atmosféricos.
Ya descartando por completo el impacto directo de la 97l o futuro Matthew,
¿Cuales serian los efectos de en nuestra zona de esta onda o futura tormenta ?
No suelo comentar mucho pero siempre me mantengo informado con ustedes de todos los eventos atmosféricos.
Ya descartando por completo el impacto directo de la 97l o futuro Matthew,
¿Cuales serian los efectos de en nuestra zona de esta onda o futura tormenta ?
“¿Sabes porque el mar es tan grande, tan manso y tan poderoso? Porque teniendo la humildad de colocarse unos centímetros por debajo de todos los ríos, descubrió que podía ser grande aprendiendo a recibir”
Patricia Hashuel
Patricia Hashuel
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
Via Twitter:
11:35z #97L no change yet, plane over Barbados
11:35z #97L no change yet, plane over Barbados
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
Via Twitter:
11:45z #97L AFR plane heading E now after Barbados, expecting closed circulation in 30mins or so.
11:45z #97L AFR plane heading E now after Barbados, expecting closed circulation in 30mins or so.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
Luego de encontrar vientos de tormenta cerca de la 15 norte y la presion mas baja hasta ahora(1006 aprox), el caza viajando hacia el sur no ha encontrado vientos mas fuertes y la presion barometrica va en aumento. Dado esto el centro de circulacion debe estar mas al norte de lo estimado por satelite hasta ahora. Para ver la data del caza ,aqui un link "real time":
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... _page=hdob
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... _page=hdob
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate
that the strong tropical wave located near Barbados is producing
winds of 40 to 45 mph. Regardless of whether or not the system
becomes a tropical storm before it moves through the Lesser
Antilles, tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains will spread
across Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, and St. Lucia today.
Satellite and surface observations suggest that the circulation
associated with the system has become better defined, and the
reconnaissance aircraft is beginning its mission to determine if a
tropical storm has formed. The system is moving westward to
west-northwestward at around 15 mph, and is expected to pass over
the Lesser Antilles later today, and move over the southeastern
Caribbean Sea tonight and Thursday.
Interests in the Windward and southern Leeward Islands should
consult products issued by your national meteorological service,
including possible tropical storm warnings or watches. Interests
in Bonaire, Curacao, Aruba, and along the northern coast of South
America should also monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms along the coast of the
western Gulf of Mexico are associated with a weak low pressure
area near Tampico, Mexico. This low is forecast to move inland
later today or tonight and significant development of this system
is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
$$
Forecaster Brown
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate
that the strong tropical wave located near Barbados is producing
winds of 40 to 45 mph. Regardless of whether or not the system
becomes a tropical storm before it moves through the Lesser
Antilles, tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains will spread
across Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, and St. Lucia today.
Satellite and surface observations suggest that the circulation
associated with the system has become better defined, and the
reconnaissance aircraft is beginning its mission to determine if a
tropical storm has formed. The system is moving westward to
west-northwestward at around 15 mph, and is expected to pass over
the Lesser Antilles later today, and move over the southeastern
Caribbean Sea tonight and Thursday.
Interests in the Windward and southern Leeward Islands should
consult products issued by your national meteorological service,
including possible tropical storm warnings or watches. Interests
in Bonaire, Curacao, Aruba, and along the northern coast of South
America should also monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms along the coast of the
western Gulf of Mexico are associated with a weak low pressure
area near Tampico, Mexico. This low is forecast to move inland
later today or tonight and significant development of this system
is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
$$
Forecaster Brown
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
-
- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
Extracto del TWO 8am:
"tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains will spread
across Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, and St. Lucia today."
"tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains will spread
across Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, and St. Lucia today."
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
Via Twitter:
11:55z #97L plane heading S again.
11:55z #97L plane heading S again.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%
IMPORTANT!
Ahora veremos si o NOOOOOOOO
Via twitter:
NHC Atlantic Ops @NHC_Atlantic
USAF plane reports strong tropical wave #97L producing 40-45 mph winds. Mission now beginning to determine if a tropical storm has formed
Ahora veremos si o NOOOOOOOO
Via twitter:
NHC Atlantic Ops @NHC_Atlantic
USAF plane reports strong tropical wave #97L producing 40-45 mph winds. Mission now beginning to determine if a tropical storm has formed
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]