Huracán Matthew

[boleco]

bueno dia amigo el sistema bajo la velocidad de tralacion ?

[Dante]

Buen dia

Para mi va pasar a mas de 200m de ponce!!

[CarlosP]

Si están esperando un azote directo.... Poco probable. Si están esperando uno indirecto, casi seguro.

[hurrizonepr]

Buenos Dias Foristas y amigos: Lo que se ve,no se pregunta (dijo el fenecido Juan Gabriel).Este sistema desde ayer esta ganando en latitud y se ve clarito en las animaciones.Tambien es cierto que la mayoria de los modelos parten de un punto mas al sur de lo que se ve en las imagenes.Esto no va ni para Venezuela ni para Aruba (a menos que la rueda se explote).
Algunos como yo entramos a este foro por entretenimiento,ampliar nuestro conocimiento o por curiosidad, y no es nuestro afan ver lo que no es o estar en contra de los conocedores. Pero la incertidumbre en este momento para nosotros esta en lo que vemos con nuestros ojos y lo que nos dicen esos conocedores que esta pasando.
No es mi interes ser otra oveja negra, pero irme en este momento con la corriente de los modelos o proyecciones actuales seria facil. El NHC puede cambiar y cambiar, pero a la larga no pierde. Esa es su ventaja.
Muchas cosas pueden cambiar todavia, en especial hoy, pues llegara el caza y la cercania a tierra hace trabajar mas al meteorologo para su analisis mas certero posible. Y para Puerto Rico hay mucho tiempo para observar.

[StormWatch]

Esto está malito! Peor q un pote de SAL!

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
27/0545 UTC 11.5N 50.6W T1.0/1.0 97L
26/2345 UTC 11.2N 51.1W T1.0/1.0 97L
26/1745 UTC 10.2N 48.3W T1.0/1.0 97L

[Georges_98]

Mientras tanto, ya se puede observar como empieza a debilitarse el High cerca del Este de los EU. Aunque el sistema mantiene una trayectoria más hacia el Oeste, esperemos el inicio de su ruta más hacia el Norte. Solo el wind shear que lo ha estado acosando y su velocidad de traslación se oponen a un gran desarrollo. Esto se pone interesante!

[hurrizonepr]

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
805 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

"Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

"An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 51W from 17N southward.
A 1008 mb low pressure center is along the wave near 11N.
Convective precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated
strong from 11N to 17N between 48W and 55W. The precipitation
pattern continues to become more organized. It is likely that a
tropical depression or a tropical storm may form later today if
this weather system continues to become more organized. The
forecast movement is to the WNW-to-W about 20 mph. Please
monitor the progress of this weather system if you have any
interests that are in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea,
including the northern coast of South America. Heavy rains and
strong gusty winds, possibly to tropical storm force, are
expected to spread across the Windward Islands and sections of
the southern Lesser Antilles beginning tonight and continuing
into Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.
The chance of formation during the next 48 hours is high. Gale
wind conditions are forecast in 24 hours, within 120 NM N
semicircle of a 1006 mb low pressure center near 13N57W, and sea
heights are forecast to range from 10 feet to 13 feet. Please
refer to the HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC for more
details"
Aparentemente redujo su velocidad de traslacion y la primera opcion es WNW-to-W.

[StormWatch]

Donde estaras?

[StormWatch]

Se quedo igual!

90% - 90%

[StormWatch]

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a
well-organized tropical wave located about 475 miles east-southeast
of Barbados. However, the low appears to lack a closed circulation
at this time. Environmental conditions are favorable for continued
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form
later today or tonight while the system moves westward to west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the eastern and central
Caribbean Sea, including the northern coast of South America, should
monitor the progress of this disturbance, since warnings and watches
could be required at any time. Regardless of whether the system is a
tropical wave or tropical cyclone, heavy rains and wind gusts to
tropical storm force are expected to spread over the Windward
Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles, beginning
tonight and continuing into Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance
this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent


Forecaster Brown