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Huracán Matthew

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StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 70%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

hurrizonepr wrote:Y vuelvo; Sea usted el Juez: Jaja !

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... E5new.html
En realidad se esta expandiendo bien brutal al norte......Mejor espero el boletín de las 8pm :mrgreen:
Ya en breve sale!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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CarlosP
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 512
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:47 pm

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 70%-90%

Post by CarlosP »

Por la 11.5N y llegando o sobre la 50W veo yo. Un buen componente de 280 grados al movimiento, casi 285.
Siempre recuerden esto:

Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
digital77
Invest
Invest
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Joined: Tue Aug 18, 2015 8:27 pm

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 70%-90%

Post by digital77 »

Hay luli. Cuidado no se si soy yo pero ese jog hacia el norte es marcado. Los expertos diran. :roll:
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 70%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Subio 80-90

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 700 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands are gradually becoming better organized. Environmental
conditions remain conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 mph.
Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, including the
northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this
system. Regardless of development, heavy rains and strong gusty
winds, possibly to tropical storm force, are expected to spread over
the Windward Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles
beginning late Tuesday or Wednesday. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Tuesday
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent


Forecaster Pasch
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 80%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Teniendo en cuenta lo del cono y el cual nos da una idea, pues ahora tiene una leve curvatura al final :twisted: :twisted: :twisted: :twisted:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Obi-Wan
Moderator
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Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 70%-90%

Post by Obi-Wan »

StormWatch wrote:Todo puede ocurrir mis amigos!
Ejemplo: :o :shock: :o
Que paso con Chantal, refrescame mi memoria por favor!
hurrizonepr
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 80%-90%

Post by hurrizonepr »

Bueno el NHC pone la cruz todavia por debajo de la 10N. Ellos sabran, pero por esa latitud yo realmente no veo nada. Se que me diran que es el LLC y que de noche es dificil determinar ect ect. Pero si es asi a esto le falta mucho para ser depresion, pues en esa area no hay circulacion cerrada, ni tronadas ni nada. Claro que es mi opinion, 0% de oficial.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 80%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Via Twitter: CycloforumsPR
‏@CycloforumsPR
Página del Navy emite un alerta de formación de ciclón tropical, lo cual coincide con la subida a 80% en el boletín 8pm del CNH.

Super INTERESANTE!
Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 70%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Obi-Wan wrote:
StormWatch wrote:Todo puede ocurrir mis amigos!
Ejemplo: :o :shock: :o
Que paso con Chantal, refrescame mi memoria por favor!
http://www.elnuevodia.com/noticias/loca ... i-1548475/
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
boleco
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 961
Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:34 am

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 80%-90%

Post by boleco »

este modelo tiene un fuerte huracan inpactando ala española
Image
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