¡Bienvenidos a la nueva interface gráfica de CycloForums!

Huracán Matthew

Aquí encontrarás todo lo relacionado al la meteorología en Puerto Rico y las condiciones del tiempo actuales, así como los huracanes que se desarrollen durante las temporadas ciclónicas, actualizados por expertos y aficionados a la meteorología de todo el pais! Este es tu foro! Leelo, escribe en el y disfrútalo! Cycloman.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Vigilante wrote:La gráfica que muestran los TWO corresponden a área de posible desarrollo ciclónico. No es un cono de trayectoria, PERO, da una idea de por dónde se movería un sistema con potencial de desarrollo. Tan pronto sea declarado depresión, entonces sí tendríamos el cono de trayectoria oficial. Basado en las corridas del GFS y Europeo, y si no hay cambios drásticos, una vez se forme, inicialmente el cono a 5 días debría incluir la parte Oeste de PR.

Lo anterior es una opinión de un aficionado.
Esa era mi duda! que bien! :mrgreen:
Ese es el que quiero ver tan pronto se forme (trayectoria oficial), y comparar luego lo q dicen los modelos!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Esto esta a punto de caramelo...


Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
huracan_1975
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 630
Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by huracan_1975 »

el HWRF 12z. a 72 horas , tiene al sistema como un cat .3 , entrando al caribe ..moviendose lentamente con condiciones bien fabvorables .


Image
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Via Twitter:
Hurricane Hunters ‏@53d_HHA
We're ready to begin flying #Invest97L tomorrow! #Matthew? #hurricanehunters
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Via Twitter:
Eric Blake ‏@EricBlake12
Whatever environmental issues #97L might have, water temperature won't be one of them. West Atlantic is at near-record levels overall.


'Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
User avatar
Joe Man
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 339
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 5:32 pm

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by Joe Man »

a las 5pm tenemos Tormenta Tropical Matthew??? Abran las apuestas...se ve muy bien su estructura en el visible!!! :shock: :shock: :shock:
Disclaimer: "Solo soy otro fan de la meteorolgia...para informacion mas precisa vaya a buscarla del NHC y del SNM.... No soy la voz oficial de comunicaciones de la AAA asi que pendiente a sus anuncios oficiales en los medios de comunicación de prensa escrita, radial, televisiva, redes socials, etc."
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by Arlequín »

Ensembles tambien ajustan un pelin al este... muy minimo :twisted:
huracan_1975
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 630
Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by huracan_1975 »

el HWRF 12z. tiene al sistema a 84 horas al sur este de PR . casi un cat 4 . moviendose lento , al noroeste . con condiciones muy favorables .


Image
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure pressure located about 950 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands have increased and become slightly better
organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions remain
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the next day or two while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the eastern and
central Caribbean Sea, including the northern coast of South
America, should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of
development, heavy rains and strong gusty winds, possibly to
tropical storm force, are expected to spread over the Windward
Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles beginning
late Tuesday or Wednesday. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Tuesday afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

2. Shower activity has redeveloped in association with the remnants of
Lisa, located about 700 miles southwest of the Azores. This system
is expected to merge with a cold front on Tuesday before
regeneration into a tropical cyclone can occur.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

3. Widespread cloudiness and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure that is
drifting westward. Upper-level winds are not expected to be
conducive for significant development before this system moves
inland over northeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Forecaster Kimberlain
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 60%-90%

Post by Arlequín »

70%
Post Reply