Huracán Irma

[Rickster]

Gráficas del NWS San Juan, 8:52 am. Parece que el mambo empieza para el este a eso de las 2:00 pm de mañana:

[vaguada]

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 5th day of the month at 11:48Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF99-5309
Storm Number: 11
Storm Name: Irma (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 8
Observation Number: 07

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 11Z on the 5th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 16.9N 57.5W
Location: 280 statute miles (451 km) to the ENE (67°) from Roseau, Dominica.
Marsden Square: 042

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
947mb (27.97 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 25.0°C (77.0°F) 24.8°C (77°F) 65° (from the ENE) 129 knots (148 mph)
925mb 208m (682 ft) 23.0°C (73.4°F) 22.7°C (73°F) 70° (from the ENE) 158 knots (182 mph)
850mb 945m (3,100 ft) 20.0°C (68.0°F) 19.4°C (67°F) 115° (from the ESE) 170 knots (196 mph)
700mb 2,612m (8,570 ft) 12.8°C (55.0°F) 12.8°C (55°F) 130° (from the SE) 129 knots (148 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 11:24Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...

Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eyewall 45° (NE) from the eye center.

Highest altitude where wind was reported:
- Location: 16.90N 57.52W
- Time: 11:24:33Z

Lowest altitude where wind was reported:
- Location: 16.95N 57.71W
- Time: 11:29:18Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 75° (from the ENE)
- Wind Speed: 168 knots (193 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 110° (from the ESE)
- Wind Speed: 144 knots (166 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 696mb to 946mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 156 gpm - 6 gpm (512 geo. feet - 20 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 70° (from the ENE)
- Wind Speed: 157 knots (181 mph)

Sounding Software Version: AEV 33304

Part B: Data for Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels
Level Air Temperature Dew Point
947mb (Surface) 25.0°C (77.0°F) 24.8°C (77°F)
850mb 20.0°C (68.0°F) 19.4°C (67°F)
707mb 15.0°C (59.0°F) 14.6°C (58°F)
696mb 11.6°C (52.9°F) 11.6°C (53°F)

Significant Wind Levels
Level Wind Direction Wind Speed
947mb (Surface) 65° (from the ENE) 129 knots (148 mph)
946mb 65° (from the ENE) 128 knots (147 mph)
944mb 60° (from the ENE) 150 knots (173 mph)
943mb 65° (from the ENE) 157 knots (181 mph)
929mb 70° (from the ENE) 165 knots (190 mph)
922mb 70° (from the ENE) 156 knots (180 mph)
918mb 70° (from the ENE) 172 knots (198 mph)
914mb 80° (from the E) 178 knots (205 mph)
913mb 80° (from the E) 180 knots (207 mph)
902mb 85° (from the E) 188 knots (216 mph)
899mb 85° (from the E) 186 knots (214 mph)
894mb 90° (from the E) 173 knots (199 mph)
886mb 95° (from the E) 174 knots (200 mph)
881mb 100° (from the E) 182 knots (209 mph)
878mb 100° (from the E) 181 knots (208 mph)
873mb 100° (from the E) 171 knots (197 mph)
864mb 105° (from the ESE) 145 knots (167 mph)
863mb 105° (from the ESE) 147 knots (169 mph)
860mb 110° (from the ESE) 162 knots (186 mph)
858mb 110° (from the ESE) 166 knots (191 mph)
850mb 115° (from the ESE) 170 knots (196 mph)
828mb 115° (from the ESE) 177 knots (204 mph)
799mb 115° (from the ESE) 154 knots (177 mph)
791mb 125° (from the SE) 130 knots (150 mph)
696mb 130° (from the SE) 127 knots (146 mph)

Winds at a particular level are peak winds since a dropsonde only records momentary slices of data at each level as it falls through the atmosphere. These winds are not 1 minute sustained.

The highest wind observed in the "Significant Wind Levels" section is noted in bold.

Click here to view the sonde diagram for this observation on our site.

The dropsonde diagram cannot be viewed within this info window. For additional security, some browsers may also require you to copy the link and paste it into a new browser window before the diagram will load.

Veo esto y número de 200 mph y más y se me retuerce el estomago. Por cierto deberían actualizar el título del tema a categoría 6

[lolo22]

estaes la parte Sur que es la mas debil

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 5th day of the month at 11:39Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF99-5309
Storm Number: 11
Storm Name: Irma (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 8
Observation Number: 05

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 11Z on the 5th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mb
Coordinates: 16.4N 57.8W
Location: 250 statute miles (402 km) to the ENE (72°) from Roseau, Dominica.
Marsden Square: 042

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -371m (-1,217 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
959mb (28.32 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 24.2°C (75.6°F) 23.8°C (75°F) 230° (from the SW) 129 knots (148 mph)
925mb 315m (1,033 ft) 22.8°C (73.0°F) 22.5°C (72°F) 235° (from the SW) 136 knots (157 mph)
850mb 1,050m (3,445 ft) 19.0°C (66.2°F) 18.6°C (65°F) 275° (from the W) 129 knots (148 mph)
700mb 1,708m (5,604 ft) Height extrapolated since sonde was released within 25mbs below this level.

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 11:14Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...

Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eyewall 225° (SW) from the eye center.

Highest altitude where wind was reported:
- Location: 16.44N 57.80W
- Time: 11:14:48Z

Lowest altitude where wind was reported:
- Location: 16.42N 57.63W
- Time: 11:20:10Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 235° (from the SW)
- Wind Speed: 135 knots (155 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 270° (from the W)
- Wind Speed: 115 knots (132 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 701mb to 958mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 158 gpm - 8 gpm (518 geo. feet - 26 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 230° (from the SW)
- Wind Speed: 132 knots (152 mph)

Sounding Software Version: AEV 33304

Part B: Data for Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels
Level Air Temperature Dew Point
959mb (Surface) 24.2°C (75.6°F) 23.8°C (75°F)
850mb 19.0°C (66.2°F) 18.6°C (65°F)
707mb 13.8°C (56.8°F) 13.5°C (56°F)
701mb 11.8°C (53.2°F) 11.8°C (53°F)

Significant Wind Levels
Level Wind Direction Wind Speed
959mb (Surface) 230° (from the SW) 129 knots (148 mph)
939mb 230° (from the SW) 134 knots (154 mph)
933mb 230° (from the SW) 146 knots (168 mph)
924mb 235° (from the SW) 135 knots (155 mph)
916mb 240° (from the WSW) 137 knots (158 mph)
911mb 240° (from the WSW) 132 knots (152 mph)
906mb 245° (from the WSW) 141 knots (162 mph)
902mb 240° (from the WSW) 121 knots (139 mph)
900mb 240° (from the WSW) 118 knots (136 mph)
894mb 250° (from the WSW) 143 knots (165 mph)
888mb 250° (from the WSW) 144 knots (166 mph)
882mb 255° (from the WSW) 151 knots (174 mph)
874mb 255° (from the WSW) 142 knots (163 mph)
868mb 260° (from the W) 149 knots (171 mph)
863mb 265° (from the W) 143 knots (165 mph)
860mb 270° (from the W) 146 knots (168 mph)
856mb 270° (from the W) 133 knots (153 mph)
850mb 275° (from the W) 129 knots (148 mph)
800mb 285° (from the WNW) 116 knots (133 mph)
725mb 305° (from the NW) 121 knots (139 mph)
707mb 315° (from the NW) 103 knots (119 mph)
701mb 300° (from the WNW) 88 knots (101 mph)

Winds at a particular level are peak winds since a dropsonde only records momentary slices of data at each level as it falls through the atmosphere. These winds are not 1 minute sustained.

The highest wind observed in the "Significant Wind Levels" section is noted in bold.

Click here to view the sonde diagram for this observation on our site.

The dropsonde diagram cannot be viewed within this info window. For additional security, some browsers may also require you to copy the link and paste it into a new browser window before the diagram will load.

[CarlosP]

Esta "wobbling", puede ser por intensidad o sintiendo debilidad.Viendo las cosas debe estar en la 16.9, subio .1. n

[Yeoseot]

Esto lq pasaria mas cerca?

Esta "wobbling", puede ser por intensidad o sintiendo debilidad.Viendo las cosas debe estar en la 16.9, subio .1. n

[vaguada]

Esta "wobbling", puede ser por intensidad o sintiendo debilidad.Viendo las cosas debe estar en la 16.9, subio .1. n

Saludos Carlos. Gracias por siempre contestar. No sé si quieras contestar esta pregunta, pero me equivoco si pienso que tenemos para que esto cambie hasta el boletín de las 2 o me equivoco, aunque sé que el trópico la madre naturaleza manda. Si quieres puedes contestar? No t quiero comprometer.

[lolo22]

Creo que esta en la 17.0

[vaguada]

Esta "wobbling", puede ser por intensidad o sintiendo debilidad.Viendo las cosas debe estar en la 16.9, subio .1. n

Saludos Carlos. Gracias por siempre contestar. No sé si quieras contestar esta pregunta, pero me equivoco si pienso que tenemos para que esto cambie hasta el boletín de las 2 o me equivoco, aunque sé que el trópico la madre naturaleza manda. Si quieres puedes contestar? No t quiero comprometer.

O en privado

[Hugo1989]

Esta "wobbling", puede ser por intensidad o sintiendo debilidad.Viendo las cosas debe estar en la 16.9, subio .1. n

Yo me voy con una poca ya de inclinacion en su movimiento. Co o sigue moviendose a la misma velocidad, el cambio de direccion va a ser poco a poco. Creo que ese track del NHC val al dedo. 50 millas al norte es mucho mejor que un azote directo.

[StormWatch]

Esta "wobbling", puede ser por intensidad o sintiendo debilidad.Viendo las cosas debe estar en la 16.9, subio .1. n

Se aplasta al Norte verdad?