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Tormenta tropical Gonzalo

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StormWatch
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Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by StormWatch »

Gonzalo?!!!!?

Cuando?
Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
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Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by Arlequín »

StormWatch wrote: Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:06 am Gonzalo?!!!!?

Cuando?
Image
lo suben a 80
Updated: Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate
that the low pressure system located about midway between the west
coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles continues to get better
organized. If current trends continue, advisories could be
initiated on this system as a tropical depression later today.
Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less
favorable conditions should limit additional development by the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by StormWatch »

Arlequín wrote: Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:12 am
StormWatch wrote: Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:06 am Gonzalo?!!!!?

Cuando?
Image
lo suben a 80
Updated: Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate
that the low pressure system located about midway between the west
coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles continues to get better
organized. If current trends continue, advisories could be
initiated on this system as a tropical depression later today.
Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less
favorable conditions should limit additional development by the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Borre mi post! 🤣

Las advertencias comenzarán más tarde según el NHC
COMENZÓ ESTO!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
katrina23
Invest
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Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by katrina23 »

:shock: En menos nad se a fortalecido! Parece ya una tormenta..
Villafañe
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Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:36 pm

Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by Villafañe »

Saludos amigos,la naturaleza indomable lo que no parecía ya que los modelos tenían problemas en verlo, solo el CMC y JMA fueron los mejores que lo vieron en un momento dado, ahora pendientes, es complicado saber que pasará. Veremos
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by StormWatch »

katrina23 wrote: Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:19 am :shock: En menos nad se a fortalecido! Parece ya una tormenta..
Los % subieron drásticamente, aunque como tú dices, es una Tormenta...


Ay SANTO...... año 2020 :shock:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
huracan sur
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 400
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Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by huracan sur »

Bueno, como menciona David esto es prácticamente ciclón en propiedad, esperando el bautizo del americano :roll:, hasta ahora no tiene aire seco, esta en un ambiente bastante húmedo aparte está pegado a la vaguada monzonica que le inyecta humedad, tiene buen outflow o anticiclon al norte buena presentación en todos sus cuadrantes y lo más importante esa circulación bien definida lleva más de 12 horas arropada por tronadas. Nada a esperar el boletín y la información oficial de CNH. Recuerden no siempre los modelos vaticinan ciclogenesis. Con Dorian el año pasado fue una historia similar donde casi ningún modelo la veía ni le daba futuro al llegar al arco de las Antillas por condiciones hostiles y aunque realmente por poco desaparece :D sobrevivió y lamentablemente el resto es historia. Como dato curioso Dorian también tuvo la denominación de 99L antes de ser ciclón :shock:. Que cosas
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by StormWatch »

El CMC tiene otro sistema saliendo desde Africa pasando cerca al Sur de Puerto Rico, en 240 horas.
(Julio 31) 😳
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by Arlequín »

Es posible que esta tarde tendremos una Depresion Tropical o Tormenta Tropical

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the low pressure area
located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the
Lesser Antilles continue to get better organized, and a tropical
depression appears to be forming. If current trends continue,
advisories could be initiated on this system this afternoon.

Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less
favorable conditions should limit additional development of the
system by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: 99L-Atlantico central

Post by StormWatch »

La trayectoria oficial y ese cono será interesante.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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