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Tormenta Hermine (Invest 99L)

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CRASH
Invest
Invest
Posts: 234
Joined: Wed Aug 07, 2013 9:16 pm

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 10%-40%

Post by CRASH »

Oh si!! Luce bien, ojala y durante el día no pierda el impulso que lleva. Show time!! 8-)
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 10%-40%

Post by StormWatch »

Upppppppppp :lol:

Shower activity has increased a little over the past 24 hours in
association with a tropical wave located about 850 miles east of
the Lesser Antilles. Dry air near this system is expected to slow
development during the next couple of days days while the
disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development
late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola
and the southeastern and central Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 20%-50%

Post by StormWatch »

:o



Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 20%-50%

Post by StormWatch »

Creo q pasara bien al Norte de PR! Jjaajjaaa asi es el Tropico!


NEXTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT

A esperar hasta Septiembre 15, maybe se forme alguito!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
User avatar
CarlosP
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 512
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:47 pm

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 20%-50%

Post by CarlosP »

Tiene la forma de una coma, eso es bueno, pero se consolida mas al norte de lo que queremos. Ya esta sobre la 15N antes de la 50W y con tendencia mas o menos de 280 grados mas esa consolidacion. Puede que se nos escape por el NE.
Siempre recuerden esto:

Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 20%-50%

Post by StormWatch »

Si este Invest99L se forma antes de llegar a Puerto Rico, deberían cojer a TODOS los modelos de proyeccion y tirarlos al zafacon! :evil:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Villafañe
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 2299
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:36 pm

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 20%-50%

Post by Villafañe »

Saludos Carlosp

Definitivamente se ve mejoria notable el 99L, el DMAX le va bien a este sistema si mantiene las tronadas como va a las 2pm pudieran subir algo los %, ahora se nos puede ir por el norte, espero que no, oremos hermanos de la meteorologia. :D
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 20%-50%

Post by StormWatch »

Como tengo firma, pues miren algo de entretenimiento!



Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Villafañe
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 2299
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:36 pm

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 20%-50%

Post by Villafañe »

Vamos para la encuesta relampago!!!

Participen por favor :D , la misma saldra manana en la prensa. :lol:

Cuales seran los # en % para el TWO a las 2pm?
Villafañe
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 2299
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:36 pm

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 20%-50%

Post by Villafañe »

Los mios 30%/60%
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