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Villafañe
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Villafañe »

Ensambles modelo europeo. Image
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Villafañe »

Ensambles modelo GFS Image
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Villafañe »

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Villafañe
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 30%/80%

Post by Villafañe »

Tropical Weather Outlook Text EspañolTropical Weather Discussion
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in
association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the
Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Gradual development of
this system is possible during the next couple of days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the early to middle part of next week while the system
approaches and then moves near or over the Lesser Antilles. The
system is forecast to continue moving generally west-northwestward
and could approach portions of the Greater Antilles by the middle to
latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 30%/80%

Post by Villafañe »

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E. Irizarry
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 30%/80%

Post by E. Irizarry »

Saludos Villa y a los demás foristas, y los que vienen en incógnitos 8-)

Ya el NHC asignó un vuelo de reconocimiento para el 98L para el lunes :idea: , verifique su hogar, suministros y otras cosas, no es para histeria pero si merece mucha atención, los modelos sabemos que son guía pero su consistencia con este sistema desde el martes/miércoles a sido clara.
Prepárese para lo peor esperando siempre lo mejor. Esta temporada apenas comienza
000
NOUS42 KNHC 101531
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1135 AM EDT SAT 10 AUGUST 2024
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2024
TCPOD NUMBER.....24-071

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES - AL98)
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 43
A. 12/1200Z
B. NOAA3 01FFA INVEST
C. 12/0945Z
D. 14.5N 53.5W
E. 12/1015Z TO 12/1400Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. LOW-LEVEL INVEST
H. WRA ACTIVATION
Millie2762
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 30%/80%

Post by Millie2762 »

E. Irizarry wrote: Sat Aug 10, 2024 12:20 pm Saludos Villa y a los demás foristas, y los que vienen en incógnitos 8-)

Ya el NHC asignó un vuelo de reconocimiento para el 98L para el lunes :idea: , verifique su hogar, suministros y otras cosas, no es para histeria pero si merece mucha atención, los modelos sabemos que son guía pero su consistencia con este sistema desde el martes/miércoles a sido clara.
Prepárese para lo peor esperando siempre lo mejor. Esta temporada apenas comienza
000
NOUS42 KNHC 101531
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1135 AM EDT SAT 10 AUGUST 2024
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2024
TCPOD NUMBER.....24-071

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES - AL98)
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 43
A. 12/1200Z
B. NOAA3 01FFA INVEST
C. 12/0945Z
D. 14.5N 53.5W
E. 12/1015Z TO 12/1400Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. LOW-LEVEL INVEST
H. WRA ACTIVATION
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 40%/80%

Post by Villafañe »

her Outlook Text EspañolTropical Weather Discussion
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to increase in
association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the
Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. A tropical
depression is likely to form by the early to middle part of next
week while the system approaches and then moves near or over the
Lesser Antilles, and interests there should monitor the progress of
this system. Then, the system is forecast to move generally
west-northwestward and could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 40%/80%

Post by Villafañe »

Saludos a E. Irrizarry mi amigo huracandelsur asi era tu nick🤣 me alegra leerte, aquí de regreso con una nueva temporada que promete muchas amanecidas, saludos también a Millie2762 y a todos los demás foristas, les insto a participar en la discusión del Invest98, el mismo es una intriga en cuanto a su desarrollo, trayectoria e intensidad. Por lo demás hay que estar bien atentos ya que los modelos principales GFS y Europeo están cerca o sobre Puerto Rico en muchas de sus corridas. Todos pendientes.
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 40%/80%

Post by Villafañe »

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