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Tormenta Tropical Ernesto

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Villafañe
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Invest 98L Código Rojo con 10% / 70%

Post by Villafañe »

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
A tropical wave located over the tropical Atlantic several hundred
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing
widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development
of the wave should be slow to occur during the next couple of days
while it moves westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form while it
approaches the Lesser Antilles by early next week. The system is
then forecast to move generally west-northwestward and could
approach the Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Beven
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Re: Posible desarrollo ciclónico. Código 🍊 con 0%/60%

Post by Villafañe »

Tropical Weather Outlook Text EspañolTropical Weather Discussion
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Debby, located inland over the Mid-Atlantic region.

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles to the west-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the tropical Atlantic. Any
development of the wave should be slow to occur during the next
couple of days while it moves westward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development while the wave moves west-northwestward,
and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the
system approaches the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast
to continue moving generally west-northwestward and could approach
the Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart
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Re: Posible desarrollo ciclónico. Código 🍊 con 0%/60%

Post by Villafañe »

Saludos a todos… la posibilidad de desarrollo a 7 días continúa aumentando, por otro lado los modelos principales continúan desarrollando cuando se acerque a las Antillas y no poder descartar nada, la mayoría de los modelos tienen al posible sistema cerca o sobre Puerto Rico. Mi preocupación es que efectivamente se forme cerca y pueda tener uña intensificación rápida ayudado por las temperaturas oceánicas altas de la 57w en adelante principalmente en el Caribe. Guarican también las había comentado anteriormente. Es tiempo de estar pendientes y terminar los preparativos por la eventualidad que nos enfrentamos a un ciclón. Cuidense.
Villafañe
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Re: Posible desarrollo ciclónico. Código 🍊 con 0%/60%

Post by Villafañe »

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Debby, located inland over the northeastern United States.

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located about 900
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become a little
better organized since yesterday. Slow development of this system
is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward
to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development
thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early
next week while the system approaches and then moves near or over
the Lesser Antilles. The system is forecast to continue moving
generally west-northwestward and could approach portions of the
Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Beven
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Re: Posible desarrollo ciclónico. Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Villafañe »

Continua subiendo los % de desarrollo para el área de mal tiempo vigilada, luce a esta hora un poco mejor organizada y los modelos continúan viendo desarrollo ciclónico cerca de las Antillas menores con ruta cerca o sobre Puerto Rico, así que ojo. Estaremos muy vigilantes al asunto.
Villafañe
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Re: Posible desarrollo ciclónico. Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Villafañe »

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Villafañe
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Villafañe »

Nace el Invest 98l, ahora podemos darle seguimiento mucho mejor. AL, 98, 2024081000, , BEST, 0, 115N, 365W, 20, 1009, DB
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Villafañe »

Invest 98L
As of 00:00 UTC Aug 10, 2024:

Location: 11.5°N 36.5°W
Maximum Winds: 20 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 60 nm
Obi-Wan
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Obi-Wan »

Estimado Villafane y amigos foristas, saludos a todos.

Lamento una situacion con la pagina del foro que ha muchos pudo haber afectado y la cual no me habia percatado hasta hoy. Justo ahora que la onda se convirtio en Invest 98L y que muchos de ustedes tendran interes de entrar al foro la situacion fue corregida.

Sigamos ahora posteando!!!!
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 98L Código Rojo con 10%/70%

Post by Villafañe »

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