Tormenta Tropical Grace - Aviso Tormenta para PR

[Georges_98]

Sííí, es un campeón que todavía evoluciona con ese saco 'e SAL que ha manejado desde que salió

[habanahurricane]

La última solución de los modelos lo trae más al oeste hacia el Caribe más adentro.

[Villafañe]

Saludos y buenas noches. He leído sus comentarios sobre el 95l. Estaba haciendo el análisis de rutina con la información disponible y la ayuda de los satélites, solo veo un posible impedimento el particulado de polvo de Sahara y si no agarra un buche y manejo bien ese particulado debe desarrollarse, vientos cortantes bajos, buena humedad, aguas calientes, aire seco hay en la 55w pero debe mejorar en los próximos días, hay dos vaguadas una al norte de Y otra más arriba y no veo que sean obstáculos según sus movimientos y estamos en agosto, los modelos no se animan mucho me imagino por el polvo de Sahara, pero yo he visto tantos sistemas que se hacen su espacio entre masas mas densas que la que hay ahora mismo. Veremos.

[JohnMT]

Its looks like 95L wont have much to struggle, considering that the system will move into low shear environment, it seems that humidity its about to go high and it sits on warmer sea surface temperature, Saharan Dust its not affecting the system because we already have a good structure and keeps improving so will likely not see it struggle. And looking at the dust, 95L sits south of dust, which by then, it would likely not affect the system, if it was north, then dust would have affected the system and inhibit the devleopment. Chances for this wave could likely increase and maybe even go higher. So by then, the Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles has to monitor this sytem very closely. Models seems to be downplaying this system as of right now the system is doing well, looking at the 850 mb vorticity, it keeps increasing and improving and not struggling. However the euro model does uptrend this system and shows some land impacts, and also this system will likely sits on the CCKW and MJO which will likely help this system. A Recon plane will fly into the system this saturday. Also, im from Puerto Rico, I just like to talk english

[Georges_98]

Buenas noches, Villa! En realidad es una sorpresa el nivel de evolución que muestra 95L tomando en cuenta la cantidad de SAL que ha encontrado. Ahora, se tendrá que poner los guantes bien apretados con el lío que le espera entre la 55w y la 60w y el polvo. Al igual que tú, pienso que es la razón por la que los modelos han estado algo escépticos con esta posible Grace.

[Georges_98]

Its looks like 95L wont have much to struggle, considering that the system will move into low shear environment, it seems that humidity its about to go high and it sits on warmer sea surface temperature, Saharan Dust its not affecting the system because we already have a good structure and keeps improving so will likely not see it struggle. And looking at the dust, 95L sits south of dust, which by then, it would likely not affect the system, if it was north, then dust would have affected the system and inhibit the devleopment. Chances for this wave could likely increase and maybe even go higher. So by then, the Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles has to monitor this sytem very closely. Models seems to be downplaying this system as of right now the system is doing well, looking at the 850 mb vorticity, it keeps increasing and improving and not struggling. However the euro model does uptrend this system and shows some land impacts, and also this system will likely sits on the CCKW and MJO which will likely help this system. A Recon plane will fly into the system this saturday. Also, im from Puerto Rico, I just like to talk english

Greetings, John! There are no problems with the language. Your input is well received by us.

[Villafañe]

Buenas noches, Villa! En realidad es una sorpresa el nivel de evolución que muestra 95L tomando en cuenta la cantidad de SAL que ha encontrado. Ahora, se tendrá que poner los guantes bien apretados con el lío que le espera entre la 55w y la 60w y el polvo. Al igual que tú, pienso que es la razón por la que los modelos han estado algo escépticos con esta posible Grace.

Si mi amigo, veremos qué pasa.

[Villafañe]

Its looks like 95L wont have much to struggle, considering that the system will move into low shear environment, it seems that humidity its about to go high and it sits on warmer sea surface temperature, Saharan Dust its not affecting the system because we already have a good structure and keeps improving so will likely not see it struggle. And looking at the dust, 95L sits south of dust, which by then, it would likely not affect the system, if it was north, then dust would have affected the system and inhibit the devleopment. Chances for this wave could likely increase and maybe even go higher. So by then, the Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles has to monitor this sytem very closely. Models seems to be downplaying this system as of right now the system is doing well, looking at the 850 mb vorticity, it keeps increasing and improving and not struggling. However the euro model does uptrend this system and shows some land impacts, and also this system will likely sits on the CCKW and MJO which will likely help this system. A Recon plane will fly into the system this saturday. Also, im from Puerto Rico, I just like to talk english

Very grateful for your valuable information and your opinion on Invest95l. Welcome to Cycloforums it is always an honor to read to you.

[Vigilante]

El Europeo enamorándose de Grace. Saludos!

[Villafañe]

El Europeo enamorándose de Grace. Saludos!

Saludos Vigilante. El europeo consistente con este sistema .