Huracan Laura
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- Invest
- Posts: 230
- Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2016 2:27 am
Re: Invest 98L con 80%/90%
Así es Stormwatch. Ese boletín nos pondría a prepararnos para eventualidades del weekend. Pienso que si consigue pasar a la etapa pronosticada, podriamos tener una situacion bastante comprometida. Comienzo a sentir temor por su gran parecido con Georges, en el 98.
Re: Invest 98L con 80%/90%
Hola a todos!!!
De verdad que es preocupante pero esto es la naturaleza. Lo que nos queda es prepararnos y tengo dudas de eso que dicen que son dos sistemas a la vez.
Alguien podría explicar??
De verdad que es preocupante pero esto es la naturaleza. Lo que nos queda es prepararnos y tengo dudas de eso que dicen que son dos sistemas a la vez.
Alguien podría explicar??
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 98L con 80%/90%
A PUNTO DE CARAMELO
A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1000 miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a
concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms on the west side of
the disturbance. Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during
the next day or two while the system moves generally west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western
portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1000 miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a
concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms on the west side of
the disturbance. Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during
the next day or two while the system moves generally west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western
portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 400
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:26 am
Re: Invest 98L con 90%/90%
Es un sistema bastante grande con mucha humedad, eventualmente estaban compitiendo 2 ondas diferentes atadas a las Itcz, como menciona David en otro post. Por eso es que lo modelos son buenas guías, pero no dejan de ser eso Guías. Hasta no tener un sistema formado no hay trayectoria oficial. El low estaba consolidándose y parece haberlo logrado. A diferencia de Isaias, tiene condiciones más favorables menos polvo del Sáhara y más humedad en el ambiente. Creo que mañana nace una D.t. prácticamente casi lo es. Ojo solo estoy dando mi opinión personal, . Creo que también veremos mañana agenda para vuelos del caza posiblemente jueves o viernes e interesante por demás ver los posibles "Fix points". De localización.
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
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- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 400
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:26 am
Re: Invest 98L con 90%/90%
Mirando por encima los mapas, los modelos tienen el 98L girando WNW por la debilidad en la alta que ahora mismo ubica cerca a la 55w, además esta vaguada está produciendo fuertes vientos cortantes por encima de la 15n desde la 50w hasta la 60w, imagino que debería moverse al norte y así fortalecerse el High
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
Re: Invest 98L con 90%/90%
La ultima corrida lo mueven algo mas al norte
Re: Invest 98L con 90%/90%
Que sig asi para el norte. PR no merece otro azote de la naturaleza. Con loa temblores y el COVID-19 basta.
Disclaimer: "Solo soy otro fan de la meteorolgia...para informacion mas precisa vaya a buscarla del NHC y del SNM.... No soy la voz oficial de comunicaciones de la AAA asi que pendiente a sus anuncios oficiales en los medios de comunicación de prensa escrita, radial, televisiva, redes socials, etc."
Re: Invest 98L con 90%/90%
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
2. An elongated area of low pressure, located a little over 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms mainly on the west side of the
disturbance. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Roberts
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
2. An elongated area of low pressure, located a little over 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms mainly on the west side of the
disturbance. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Roberts
Re: Invest 98L con 90%/90%
A esta hora en el satelite aparenta estar recogiendose como pronostican...q creen?
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 98L con 90%/90%
Ohhhhhhh ALERTA parece q esa Alta Presión estará fuerte ajustaron más hacia nosotros.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]