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hurrizonepr
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
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Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by hurrizonepr »

Se queda 40-50% 8pm:
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a
few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue
to show signs of organization. However, recent satellite-derived
wind data indicates that the circulation remains elongated.
Environmental conditions appear conducive enough to support
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form during the next few days while it moves generally
westward at 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions are
likely to become less conducive for development late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
Arlequín
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Cat. 1
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Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by Arlequín »

EURO 18z esta corriendo actualmente y muestra lo siguiente
Image
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by Villafañe »

Arlequín wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 8:22 pm EURO 18z esta corriendo actualmente y muestra lo siguiente
Image
Saludos Arlequín y a todos los amigos foristas. La ve muy bien el europeo a las 18z
StormWatch
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Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by StormWatch »

Arlequín wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 8:22 pm EURO 18z esta corriendo actualmente y muestra lo siguiente
Image
Saludos! El Europeo está corriendo ahora?
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
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Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by StormWatch »

El modelo europeo sus corridas son en estas horas
[1:45 AM/PM] :?: :?: 🧐🧐

Villafañe wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 9:58 pm
Arlequín wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 8:22 pm EURO 18z esta corriendo actualmente y muestra lo siguiente
Image
Saludos Arlequín y a todos los amigos foristas. La ve muy bien el europeo a las 18z
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by StormWatch »

Imagen actual del 95L

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by Arlequín »

StormWatch wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 10:31 pm El modelo europeo sus corridas son en estas horas
[1:45 AM/PM] :?: :?: 🧐🧐

Villafañe wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 9:58 pm
Arlequín wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 8:22 pm EURO 18z esta corriendo actualmente y muestra lo siguiente
Saludos Arlequín y a todos los amigos foristas. La ve muy bien el europeo a las 18z
Si pero desde el año pasado tambien estan haciendo corridas a las 06z y 18z pero estas no pasan de 90h y los ensembles de esas corridas llegan hasta 144h
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by StormWatch »

Arlequín wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 11:13 pm
StormWatch wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 10:31 pm El modelo europeo sus corridas son en estas horas
[1:45 AM/PM] :?: :?: 🧐🧐

Villafañe wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 9:58 pm

Saludos Arlequín y a todos los amigos foristas. La ve muy bien el europeo a las 18z
Si pero desde el año pasado tambien estan haciendo corridas a las 06z y 18z pero estas no pasan de 90h y los ensembles de esas corridas llegan hasta 144h
Excelente! Bueno saberlo!

Seguimos atentos! :D
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by Arlequín »

Image
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
association with a vigorous tropical wave located several hundred
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for additional
development to occur, and a tropical depression is likely to form
during the next day or two while the disturbance moves generally
westward at around 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions
are forecast to become less conducive for development by the end of
the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.


$$
Forecaster Stewart
katrina23
Invest
Invest
Posts: 213
Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2015 6:47 am

Re: Invest 95L - Onda tropical al suroeste de Cabo Verde 40%-50%

Post by katrina23 »

Saludos
Aquí de nuevo al parecer todas se van a formar en el mismo lugar.
Tenemos taller esta semana... :roll:
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