Tormenta tropical Gonzalo
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
Gonzalo?!!!!?
Cuando?
Cuando?
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
lo suben a 80
Updated: Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate
that the low pressure system located about midway between the west
coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles continues to get better
organized. If current trends continue, advisories could be
initiated on this system as a tropical depression later today.
Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less
favorable conditions should limit additional development by the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
Borre mi post!Arlequín wrote: ↑Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:12 amlo suben a 80
Updated: Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate
that the low pressure system located about midway between the west
coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles continues to get better
organized. If current trends continue, advisories could be
initiated on this system as a tropical depression later today.
Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less
favorable conditions should limit additional development by the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Las advertencias comenzarán más tarde según el NHC
COMENZÓ ESTO!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
En menos nad se a fortalecido! Parece ya una tormenta..
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
Saludos amigos,la naturaleza indomable lo que no parecía ya que los modelos tenían problemas en verlo, solo el CMC y JMA fueron los mejores que lo vieron en un momento dado, ahora pendientes, es complicado saber que pasará. Veremos
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
Los % subieron drásticamente, aunque como tú dices, es una Tormenta...
Ay SANTO...... año 2020
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 400
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:26 am
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
Bueno, como menciona David esto es prácticamente ciclón en propiedad, esperando el bautizo del americano , hasta ahora no tiene aire seco, esta en un ambiente bastante húmedo aparte está pegado a la vaguada monzonica que le inyecta humedad, tiene buen outflow o anticiclon al norte buena presentación en todos sus cuadrantes y lo más importante esa circulación bien definida lleva más de 12 horas arropada por tronadas. Nada a esperar el boletín y la información oficial de CNH. Recuerden no siempre los modelos vaticinan ciclogenesis. Con Dorian el año pasado fue una historia similar donde casi ningún modelo la veía ni le daba futuro al llegar al arco de las Antillas por condiciones hostiles y aunque realmente por poco desaparece sobrevivió y lamentablemente el resto es historia. Como dato curioso Dorian también tuvo la denominación de 99L antes de ser ciclón . Que cosas
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
El CMC tiene otro sistema saliendo desde Africa pasando cerca al Sur de Puerto Rico, en 240 horas.
(Julio 31)
(Julio 31)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
Es posible que esta tarde tendremos una Depresion Tropical o Tormenta Tropical
Showers and thunderstorms associated with the low pressure area
located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the
Lesser Antilles continue to get better organized, and a tropical
depression appears to be forming. If current trends continue,
advisories could be initiated on this system this afternoon.
Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less
favorable conditions should limit additional development of the
system by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with the low pressure area
located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the
Lesser Antilles continue to get better organized, and a tropical
depression appears to be forming. If current trends continue,
advisories could be initiated on this system this afternoon.
Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less
favorable conditions should limit additional development of the
system by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: 99L-Atlantico central
La trayectoria oficial y ese cono será interesante.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]