Tormenta Tropical Karen.

[Silvio29]

Saludo Rockstorms y demás foristas, nació Karen es un sistema difícil de proyectar su intensidad, el caza huracán hoy volará el sistema es posible que este un poco mas fuerte, la ruta lo mismo puede ser por el Canal de la Mona como por Islas Vírgenes así que hay que estar pendientes. Veremos

De acuerdo 100% contigo, es más por estar en la periferia de una alta presión que la ha empujado hacia el sur, hay que ver su reformación y hasta donde llega la alta.

[StormWatch]

Rapid intensification! Me atrevo decir q será huracán HOY

Nos quiere partir........

[cg1672]

Rapid intensification! Me atrevo decir q será huracán HOY

Nos quiere partir........

Hasta ahora no hay ninguna indicación de que ocurra RI. El viento cortante no permitiría tal escenario. Hasta ahora lo más importante con este sistema es la lluvia.

[StormWatch]

Rapid intensification! Me atrevo decir q será huracán HOY

Nos quiere partir........

Hasta ahora no hay ninguna indicación de que ocurra RI. El viento cortante no permitiría tal escenario. Hasta ahora lo más importante con este sistema es la lluvia.

Eso lo sé pq siempre leo el Forecast Discussion...

Lo menciono por lo caliente q están las aguas del Mar Caribe!

Little, if any, change in intensity is expected for the next 48 hours due to strong northeasterly vertical wind shear. However, the upper-level flow is expected to be difluent, which should help Karen maintain its current intensity despite the otherwise unfavorable shear conditions. By 72 hours and beyond, Karen is forecast to move underneath an upper-level anticyclone, which should result in a
significant decrease in the shear and also enhance the upper-level outflow, allowing for some strengthening to occur. The NHC intensity forecast closely follows a blend of the the intensity consensus.
models IVCN and HCCA, and the Decay-SHIPS model.

[StormWatch]

BOMMMMMMMM!

Vigilancia de tormenta para Puerto RIco e Islas Vírgenes.

[StormWatch]

NOS VA A PARTIR DE SUR A NORTE

[katrina23]

Saludos
Una pregunta seguirá moviéndose al oeste.

[Laniña2016]

NOS VA A PARTIR DE SUR A NORTE

Cada vez la ponen mas pegadita a la isla grande...

[GPS]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Karen Intermediate
Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
AL122019 200 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...

CENTER OF KAREN MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...GUSTY WINDS AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING THROUGH

THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.7N 62.3W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM N OF GRENADA ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WSW OF ST. VINCENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS --------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Trinidad and Tobago has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Trinidad and Tobago.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Grenada and its dependencies * St. Vincent and the Grenadines A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * U.S. Virgin Islands * Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra * British Virgin Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Karen.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 62.3 West. Karen is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur on Monday, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Karen will move away from the Windward Islands later today, and then across the eastern Caribbean Sea tonight and Monday. On Tuesday, Karen is expected to approach Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km), primarily in squalls to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ----------------------

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area through this afternoon or evening. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area beginning on Tuesday.

RAINFALL: Karen is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Wednesday: Windward Islands...3 to 6 inches, isolated 8 inches. Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. Leeward Islands...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches. Far northeast Venezuela and Barbados...1 to 3 inches. These rains may cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas.

NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown

[huracan sur]

Ahora mismo un avion sobre vuela a Karen, veremos que nos trae. Hasta ahora lo mas notable viento mas alto medido 46mph, 1008.8mb todavia no a pasado por el centro