En la discusión del NHC dice que el invest va a encontrar un ambiente favorable durante este fin de semana, el lunes encontrará vientos cortantes hasta el momento, aunque algunos modelos ahora la fortalecen. Pero esos vientos cortantes se ven presente en Jerry en la otra que está debajo de República Dominicana. Pero frente a este invest se ve bien. Esperar hasta el domingo a ver si esos vientos cortantes estarán presente cuán fuerte y si la debilitará porque Dorian se burló de nosotros.
Todo puede pasar hay que estar pendiente
Bendiciones
Tormenta Tropical Karen.
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huracan sur
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Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 40% y 40%
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are currently conducive
for some development, and a tropical depression could form over the
weekend while the system moves quickly westward to west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, crossing the Windward Islands
Saturday night and Sunday. Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for development early next week once the wave moves
over the eastern Caribbean Sea. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft
is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if
necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible
over the Windward Islands over the weekend, and interests on those
islands should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Interesante discusión, hay avión para mañana si es normal claro
Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are currently conducive
for some development, and a tropical depression could form over the
weekend while the system moves quickly westward to west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, crossing the Windward Islands
Saturday night and Sunday. Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for development early next week once the wave moves
over the eastern Caribbean Sea. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft
is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if
necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible
over the Windward Islands over the weekend, and interests on those
islands should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Interesante discusión, hay avión para mañana si es normal claro
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
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StormWatch
- Cat. 3
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- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 40% y 40%
Nos vamos a morir...Ese modelo es bien agresivo en cuanto a intensidad
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 40% y 50%
Las primeras imágenes del satélite de esta mañana con bastante convección alrededor de la baja presión... Invest 99l. Veremos que pasa con este prospecto. La oficina local de 
el SNM puso esto así que pendientes. If this system develops into a tropical cyclone, it could bring tropical storm or hurricane conditions to the local islands Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday.
el SNM puso esto así que pendientes. If this system develops into a tropical cyclone, it could bring tropical storm or hurricane conditions to the local islands Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday.-
Laniña2016
- Invest
- Posts: 212
- Joined: Sat May 28, 2016 7:19 am
Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 40% y 50%
Activada por aquí 
Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 40% y 50%
Suben 50% y 60%. A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. The
wave is forecast to move quickly westward to west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph for the next day or two, crossing the Windward Islands
on Sunday. Although the system is currently disorganized,
environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some development
and a tropical depression could form later this weekend or early
next week. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system this afternoon. Regardless of development,
heavy rainfall is possible over much of the Lesser Antilles over the
weekend, and interests on those islands and Puerto Rico should
monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. The
wave is forecast to move quickly westward to west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph for the next day or two, crossing the Windward Islands
on Sunday. Although the system is currently disorganized,
environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some development
and a tropical depression could form later this weekend or early
next week. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system this afternoon. Regardless of development,
heavy rainfall is possible over much of the Lesser Antilles over the
weekend, and interests on those islands and Puerto Rico should
monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 50% y 60%
Buenos dias.
Como que tendremos otra Dorian..
Tenemos sistema para observar.
Como que tendremos otra Dorian..
Tenemos sistema para observar.
Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 40% y 50%
Ya hay corridas de los modelos.? Definitivamente pero están variando en intensidad y ruta, hasta que no se forme aun seguirán en esa, a las 00z el HWRF lo tenia como huracán entrando aVillafañe wrote: ↑Sat Sep 21, 2019 7:21 am Las primeras imágenes del satélite de esta mañana con bastante convección alrededor de la baja presión... Invest 99l. Veremos que pasa con este prospecto. La oficina local de
A las 06z al este de, será otro para observar... por ahora la influencia del rabo de Jerry es protagonista para halarlo, pero en fin eso es muy difícil saber que influencia y por cuánto tiempo y si se forma en ciclón y en que punto... es como un juego de ajedrez, veremos como se mueven en el tablero atmosférico.Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 50% y 60%
Es interesante que en la discusión del NHC dice que un caza huracanes volará el sistema hoy en la tarde. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system this afternoon.
investigate this system this afternoon.
Re: Invest 99l Sureste de las Antillas- 50% y 60%
EURO 06z se ve mas fuerte que su corrida anterior
finaliza la corrida impactando el suroeste de PR. Saludos Arlequín tiene la foto de cuando se acerca a el europeo en la corrida del 06z.
finaliza la corrida impactando el suroeste de PR. Saludos Arlequín tiene la foto de cuando se acerca a
el europeo en la corrida del 06z.