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Huracán Jerry

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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by StormWatch »

Recon finding stronger NE eyewall w/ FL winds hitting Category 3 strength. SFMR lower at around 85kt, which could support a Category 2 intensity for #Jerry
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by StormWatch »

It appears likely #Jerry has become a Category 2 #hurricane. Latest observations have a minimum extrapolated pressure 974.9-hPa, max flight level winds of 97kt, & max SFMR obs of 85kt. Further short-term intensification likely as long as inner core remains intact.

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
fanatica
Invest
Invest
Posts: 118
Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 9:02 pm

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by fanatica »

StormWatch wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 8:07 pm It appears likely #Jerry has become a Category 2 #hurricane. Latest observations have a minimum extrapolated pressure 974.9-hPa, max flight level winds of 97kt, & max SFMR obs of 85kt. Further short-term intensification likely as long as inner core remains intact.

Image
Gracias por seguir informándonos
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by StormWatch »

fanatica wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 8:33 pm
StormWatch wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 8:07 pm It appears likely #Jerry has become a Category 2 #hurricane. Latest observations have a minimum extrapolated pressure 974.9-hPa, max flight level winds of 97kt, & max SFMR obs of 85kt. Further short-term intensification likely as long as inner core remains intact.

Image
Gracias por seguir informándonos
Yesss!! 😀
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by StormWatch »

CycloforumPR

Los reportes del avión sobre Jerry indican un movimiento ajustado al Oeste, que podría ser temporero. Igual una reducción en su presión barométrica y posiblemente un aumento en la fuerza de sus vientos. Veremos qué dice el CNH a las 11pm.

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Obi-Wan
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 444
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 7:22 pm

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by Obi-Wan »

Estimados amigos, lamento mucho el no poder comentar en estos días, me encuentro fuera de PR en viaje de negocios y no regreso hasta el 30 de septiembre. Pero mantengo al dia con lo que ustedes escriben y sus excelentes aportaciones.

Saludos!
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by StormWatch »

Rumbo WSW o estoy viendo mal?

Jerry lleva ese movimiento por mas de 4 horas! WOWWWWWW!
Despierten que nos vamos a morir :D

Miren este LOOP........

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... =ir-dvorak
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by StormWatch »

En este loop se ve mucho mejor ese movimiento casi 260 grados

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... t=vis-swir
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Silvio29
Invest
Invest
Posts: 279
Joined: Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:33 am

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by Silvio29 »

StormWatch wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 11:49 pm Rumbo WSW o estoy viendo mal?

Jerry lleva ese movimiento por mas de 4 horas! WOWWWWWW!
Despierten que nos vamos a morir :D

Miren este LOOP........

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... =ir-dvorak
No estás loco , yo vengo viéndolo desde las 8:00 con un oeste franco y ahora vi que cogio un poco más al sur.
Despierten porque algo está pasando.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán Jerry

Post by StormWatch »

Silvio29 wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 11:55 pm
StormWatch wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 11:49 pm Rumbo WSW o estoy viendo mal?

Jerry lleva ese movimiento por mas de 4 horas! WOWWWWWW!
Despierten que nos vamos a morir :D

Miren este LOOP........

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... =ir-dvorak
No estás loco , yo vengo viéndolo desde las 8:00 con un oeste franco y ahora vi que cogio un poco más al sur.
Despierten porque algo está pasando.
Pues, WOWWW! Esperar al boletín de las 2am está fuerte 😫

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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