¡Bienvenidos a la nueva interface gráfica de CycloForums!

Ex Invest 94l

Aquí encontrarás todo lo relacionado al la meteorología en Puerto Rico y las condiciones del tiempo actuales, así como los huracanes que se desarrollen durante las temporadas ciclónicas, actualizados por expertos y aficionados a la meteorología de todo el pais! Este es tu foro! Leelo, escribe en el y disfrútalo! Cycloman.
Locked
User avatar
megadicto
Invest
Invest
Posts: 291
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:50 am

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by megadicto »

StormWatch wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:47 pm Como lo hacemos por no poner doble post?

Doy mi número de celular y aviso lo que voy a postear?
:lol:
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by StormWatch »

megadicto wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2019 5:26 pm
StormWatch wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:47 pm Como lo hacemos por no poner doble post?

Doy mi número de celular y aviso lo que voy a postear?
:lol:
😂😂
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Silvio29
Invest
Invest
Posts: 279
Joined: Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:33 am

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by Silvio29 »

Es entendible que los modelos no lo vean, porque parece que va a ser muy agresiva la alta presión y es muy probable que el sistema le dé un poco de brega para formarse bien y lo empuje hacia el suroeste.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by StormWatch »

Con buena estructura el 94L

Image

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by Arlequín »

StormWatch wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:49 pm Via @CycloforumPR

El nuevo invest 94L se moverá al Oeste durante varios días. Aquí los primeros pronósticos de trayectoria e intensidad. GFS no lo desarrolla y el Europeo no es consistente. Ya sabemos cómo funciona esto. Tiempo para observar y ver los cambios que ocurrirán. Stay tuned.
Aunque el EURO no lo desarrolla, los ensambles de este modelo si le muestran desarrollo
corrida de las 00z de anoche
Image

corrida de las 12z hoy
Image
Laniña2016
Invest
Invest
Posts: 212
Joined: Sat May 28, 2016 7:19 am

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by Laniña2016 »

Cada vez se alinean mas para el Oeste.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by StormWatch »

Básicamente misma trayectoria q Dorian

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by Arlequín »

El EURO ensembles esta tarde
Image
En unas horas saldra la corrida de las 18z, tratare de postear unas cuantas imagenes


El GFS lo muestra mas fuerte que sus ultimas corridas
Image
Laniña2016
Invest
Invest
Posts: 212
Joined: Sat May 28, 2016 7:19 am

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by Laniña2016 »

Gracias, aquí presente
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%

Post by Arlequín »

Se queda con los mismos numeros


A broad area of low pressure along a tropical wave located near the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a
tropical depression could form while it moves westward across the
tropical Atlantic Ocean through early next week. Enhanced rainfall
is possible across the Cabo Verde Islands through early Friday as
the disturbance moves through the region.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Locked