StormWatch wrote: ↑Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:47 pm Como lo hacemos por no poner doble post?
Doy mi número de celular y aviso lo que voy a postear?
Ex Invest 94l
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
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StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
megadicto wrote: ↑Thu Sep 05, 2019 5:26 pmStormWatch wrote: ↑Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:47 pm Como lo hacemos por no poner doble post?
Doy mi número de celular y aviso lo que voy a postear?
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
Es entendible que los modelos no lo vean, porque parece que va a ser muy agresiva la alta presión y es muy probable que el sistema le dé un poco de brega para formarse bien y lo empuje hacia el suroeste.
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StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
Con buena estructura el 94L
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
Aunque el EURO no lo desarrolla, los ensambles de este modelo si le muestran desarrolloStormWatch wrote: ↑Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:49 pm Via @CycloforumPR
El nuevo invest 94L se moverá al Oeste durante varios días. Aquí los primeros pronósticos de trayectoria e intensidad. GFS no lo desarrolla y el Europeo no es consistente. Ya sabemos cómo funciona esto. Tiempo para observar y ver los cambios que ocurrirán. Stay tuned.
corrida de las 00z de anoche
corrida de las 12z hoy
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Laniña2016
- Invest
- Posts: 212
- Joined: Sat May 28, 2016 7:19 am
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
Cada vez se alinean mas para el Oeste.
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StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
Básicamente misma trayectoria q Dorian
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
El EURO ensembles esta tarde
En unas horas saldra la corrida de las 18z, tratare de postear unas cuantas imagenes
El GFS lo muestra mas fuerte que sus ultimas corridas
En unas horas saldra la corrida de las 18z, tratare de postear unas cuantas imagenes
El GFS lo muestra mas fuerte que sus ultimas corridas
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Laniña2016
- Invest
- Posts: 212
- Joined: Sat May 28, 2016 7:19 am
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
Gracias, aquí presente
Re: Invest 94l con 20%/60%
Se queda con los mismos numeros
A broad area of low pressure along a tropical wave located near the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a
tropical depression could form while it moves westward across the
tropical Atlantic Ocean through early next week. Enhanced rainfall
is possible across the Cabo Verde Islands through early Friday as
the disturbance moves through the region.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
A broad area of low pressure along a tropical wave located near the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a
tropical depression could form while it moves westward across the
tropical Atlantic Ocean through early next week. Enhanced rainfall
is possible across the Cabo Verde Islands through early Friday as
the disturbance moves through the region.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.