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Arlequín
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Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by Arlequín »

Saludos..
me preguntaba si es la misma onda tropical que muestran los ensembles del EURO
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Silvio29
Invest
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Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by Silvio29 »

Hola queridos foristas, ya está despertando el chat.
Villafañe muy atinado con tus explicaciones como siempre.

Este sistema viene muy abajo y luchando por varios días, pero parece que encontró su ambiente.
Saludos a todos.
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by Villafañe »

Si es la misma, ya hay algunos ensamble que ven desarrollo del modelo europeo.
Arlequín wrote: Fri Aug 23, 2019 9:37 am Saludos..
me preguntaba si es la misma onda tropical que muestran los ensembles del EURO
Image
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by Villafañe »

El modelo ICON, GFS y Legacy desarrollan el Invest 99l a las 12z.
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by Villafañe »

El modelo canadiense CMC también ve desarrollo en con este invest99l, alineación de los planetas en cuanto a desarrollo, intensidad, ruta no hay consenso aun. Muy pendientes amigos foristas a la evolución del disturbio tropical.
huracan sur
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Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by huracan sur »

Villafañe wrote: Fri Aug 23, 2019 1:13 pm El modelo canadiense CMC también ve desarrollo en con este invest99l, alineación de los planetas en cuanto a desarrollo, intensidad, ruta no hay consenso aun. Muy pendientes amigos foristas a la evolución del disturbio tropical.
Excelente aporte como siempre Villafañe :idea: , estos sistemas "volátiles" que salen así de la nada hay que ponerle bien el ojo. Ya que solo el GFS había olfateado algo ayer. Pero nada más hasta ayer en la noche.
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
StormWatch
Cat. 3
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Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by StormWatch »

Maybe el próximo boletín:

48 hours: 70%
5 days 50%

:mrgreen:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by Arlequín »

Recent satellite wind data indicate that a low pressure area has
formed in association with a tropical wave located about 1300
miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. Additional
development of this system is possible during the next few days, and
a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next
week as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward near 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
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Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by StormWatch »

Arlequín wrote: Fri Aug 23, 2019 1:50 pm Recent satellite wind data indicate that a low pressure area has
formed in association with a tropical wave located about 1300
miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. Additional
development of this system is possible during the next few days, and
a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next
week as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward near 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Hmmmmm!

Subió bastante esos % :ugeek:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Invest 99L Pintura Amarilla 10% / 20%

Post by Arlequín »

StormWatch wrote: Fri Aug 23, 2019 1:52 pm
Arlequín wrote: Fri Aug 23, 2019 1:50 pm Recent satellite wind data indicate that a low pressure area has
formed in association with a tropical wave located about 1300
miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. Additional
development of this system is possible during the next few days, and
a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next
week as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward near 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Hmmmmm!

Subió bastante esos % :ugeek:
Asi es... ademas el EURO lo ve bien robusto ahora

pronostico de vorticidad dentro de 24h
Image
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