Modelo HWRF
Remanentes de la Tormenta Tropical Beryl
Re: Sistema 95L Atlántico Central 30%-30%
Modelo HWRF
Re: Sistema 95L Atlántico Central 30%-30%
As of 4:55 pm EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 ...
Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with a
small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located several
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become
better organized during the past few hours. Some additional
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form during the next day or two while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic
Ocean. By the weekend, upper-level winds are expected to become less
conducive for development when the system approaches the Lesser
Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with a
small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located several
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become
better organized during the past few hours. Some additional
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form during the next day or two while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic
Ocean. By the weekend, upper-level winds are expected to become less
conducive for development when the system approaches the Lesser
Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Re: Sistema 95L Atlántico Central 30%-30%
Suben a 50%/50%
Re: Sistema 95L Atlántico Central 50%-50%
Suben a 70%/70%
Re: Sistema 95L Atlántico Central 50%-50%
8:00pm de hoy 4 de julio de 2018
Shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a
tropical wave located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to become better organized. A tropical
depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the
tropical Atlantic Ocean. By the weekend, however, upper-level winds
are expected to become less conducive for development when the
system approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a
tropical wave located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to become better organized. A tropical
depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the
tropical Atlantic Ocean. By the weekend, however, upper-level winds
are expected to become less conducive for development when the
system approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
Re: Sistema 95L Atlántico Central 50%-50%
Este sistema cuando se acerque a las Antillas los modelos no le dan mucha oportunidad y degradan el low, mucho polvo de Sahara y vientos cortantes, pero me llamó la atención que el GFS en la corrida de las 18z a 60 horas es que ve mejor el sistema. Veremos... aquí estaremos pendientes.
Re: Sistema 95L Atlántico Central 50%-50%
tan bien veo que los modelo aumentan la lluvia en el sistema cuando esta llegando ala islaVillafañe wrote: ↑Wed Jul 04, 2018 7:58 pm Este sistema cuando se acerque a las Antillas los modelos no le dan mucha oportunidad y degradan el low, mucho polvo de Sahara y vientos cortantes, pero me llamó la atención que el GFS en la corrida de las 18z a 60 horas es que ve mejor el sistema. Veremos... aquí estaremos pendientes.
