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Huracán María

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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán María

Post by StormWatch »

megadicto wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:16 pm John Morales apuesta a que se va mas al sur...como aqui CarlosP...veremos
John Morales (@JohnMoralesNBC6) tweeted at 0:43 PM on Mon, Sep 18, 2017:
Según CNH el ojo NO tocaría RD. Pero no les creo. Pudiera entrar como ciclón 3 o 4 por el este. https://t.co/OhkLWgvmBG
(https://twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/sta ... 60353?s=03)
Lo leo mucho en Twitter, y le tiene una guerra hace muchos años contra esa agencia (NHC)

Allá cada cual con sus tuits!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán María

Post by StormWatch »

Foto reciente!
Poco a poco llegado esa nubosidad al Sur de PR

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Hortense69
Invest
Invest
Posts: 153
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:52 pm

Re: Huracán María

Post by Hortense69 »

vaguada wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:27 pm Hola vecinaaaaaaaa, etas ready
YES!! Tormenteras set! Planta set! Gasolina para una semana de uso. Los dos freezer full de hielo y botellas congelada. Con bowls hice bloques de hieloHeavy! Puse hasta puse una nueva estacion meteorologica!! :D :D :twisted: :twisted: :twisted:


Veamos hasta cuanto me dure la señal de AT&T esta vez, para reportar...
[i]El mejor pronóstico.... Las Horas...
[/i]


Mi opinión es de aficionada miramapas. Para información oficial favor dirigirse a: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
bird72
Invest
Invest
Posts: 164
Joined: Thu Sep 05, 2013 3:15 am

Re: Huracán María

Post by bird72 »

StormWatch wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:31 pm Foto reciente!
Poco a poco llegado esa nubosidad al Sur de PR

Image
Weeeeeepa....abrió el ojo Maria...Vaguada y Arlequín, creo que fue que nos estaba guiñando el ojo pero ya lo abrió 😂😂😂
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán María

Post by StormWatch »

bird72 wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:44 pm
StormWatch wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:31 pm Foto reciente!
Poco a poco llegado esa nubosidad al Sur de PR

Image
Weeeeeepa....abrió el ojo Maria...Vaguada y Arlequín, creo que fue que nos estaba guiñando el ojo pero ya lo abrió 😂😂😂
LOL 😂
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
vaguada
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 319
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:51 pm

Re: Huracán María

Post by vaguada »

bird72 wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:44 pm
StormWatch wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:31 pm Foto reciente!
Poco a poco llegado esa nubosidad al Sur de PR

Image
Weeeeeepa....abrió el ojo Maria...Vaguada y Arlequín, creo que fue que nos estaba guiñando el ojo pero ya lo abrió 😂😂😂
:lol: :lol:
Las vaguadas no somos tan malas como algunos creen :lol: :lol:
lolo22
Onda Tropical
Onda Tropical
Posts: 35
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2016 5:23 am

Re: Huracán María

Post by lolo22 »

BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
200 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017

...MARIA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...
...THE EYE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 60.4W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ESE OF DOMINICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...200 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Watch for Barbados.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica
* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* Martinique
* St. Lucia
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua and Barbuda
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Anguilla

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles and the Dominican
Republic should monitor the progress of this system. Hurricane
Warnings will likely be issued for Puerto Rico and the nearby
islands this afternoon.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Maria was located
by the French radar on Martinique near latitude 14.9 North,
longitude 60.4 West. Maria is moving toward the west-northwest near
10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion with some decrease in forward
speed is expected through Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the
center of Maria will move across the Leeward Islands late today and
tonight, over the extreme northeastern Caribbean Sea Tuesday and
Tuesday night, and approach Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on
Wednesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph
(200 km/h) with higher gusts. Maria is a category 3 hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional rapid
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Maria is
expected to be a dangerous major hurricane as it moves through the
Leeward Islands and the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125
miles (205 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter
aircraft data is 956 mb (28.23 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are first expected within portions of
the Leeward Islands by late today, with tropical storm conditions
beginning shortly. Hurricane conditions should spread through the
remainder of the hurricane warning area tonight through Tuesday
night. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area Tuesday through Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions
possible later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the tropical storm watch area through tonight.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and
destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 9 feet
above normal tide levels in the hurricane warning area near where
the center of Maria moves across the Leeward Islands and the
British Virgin Islands.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach
the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the
time of high tide...

Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands...6 to 9 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the north and east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related
flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal
cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.

RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches across the
central and southern Leeward Islands, and the U.S. and British
Virgin Islands through Wednesday night. Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12
inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches are expected
across Puerto Rico. Maria is also expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8
inches over the remaining northern Leeward Islands from Barbuda to
Anguilla, eastern portions of the Dominican Republic, as well as the
Windward Islands and Barbados. Rainfall on all of these islands
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting the Lesser Antilles.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven
vaguada
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 319
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:51 pm

Re: Huracán María

Post by vaguada »

Hortense69 wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:37 pm
vaguada wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:27 pm Hola vecinaaaaaaaa, etas ready
YES!! Tormenteras set! Planta set! Gasolina para una semana de uso. Los dos freezer full de hielo y botellas congelada. Con bowls hice bloques de hieloHeavy! Puse hasta puse una nueva estacion meteorologica!! :D :D :twisted: :twisted: :twisted:


Veamos hasta cuanto me dure la señal de AT&T esta vez, para reportar...
Diantre, gasolina pa una semana?
Las vaguadas no somos tan malas como algunos creen :lol: :lol:
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracán María

Post by StormWatch »

Euro en 24 HORAS

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Hortense69
Invest
Invest
Posts: 153
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:52 pm

Re: Huracán María

Post by Hortense69 »

vaguada wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:51 pm
Hortense69 wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:37 pm
vaguada wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:27 pm Hola vecinaaaaaaaa, etas ready
YES!! Tormenteras set! Planta set! Gasolina para una semana de uso. Los dos freezer full de hielo y botellas congelada. Con bowls hice bloques de hieloHeavy! Puse hasta puse una nueva estacion meteorologica!! :D :D :twisted: :twisted: :twisted:


Veamos hasta cuanto me dure la señal de AT&T esta vez, para reportar...
Diantre, gasolina pa una semana?
YES!!
[i]El mejor pronóstico.... Las Horas...
[/i]


Mi opinión es de aficionada miramapas. Para información oficial favor dirigirse a: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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