Huracán María
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Georges_98
- Invest
- Posts: 230
- Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2016 2:27 am
Re: Onda Tropical- Suroeste de Cabo Verde (10%-40%)
A las 2:00 am ya pintura naranja para un sistema que no tiene muchos obstáculos por delante. El lento movimiento de José puede ser instrumento para hacerla mover más hacia el Norte mientras avanza. Ojo! Parece que tendremos Café y azúcar en los días siguientes.
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hurrizonepr
- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Onda Tropical- Suroeste de Cabo Verde (10%-40%)
Buenos Dias:Los modelos dicen poco y tienen demasiada discrepancia entre ellos al momento. Lo mejor por ahora es la observacion. Recordemos estamos solo a mediados de Septiembre y pueden formarse mas fenomenos de interes para PR. Estos dos sistemas estan saliendo mucho mas abajo que sus predecesores y presentan movimiento al Oeste por ahora,que mas ?
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... E5new.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... E5new.html
Re: Onda Tropical-96L- Suroeste de Cabo Verde (20%-60%)
96L está aquí
Re: Onda Tropical-96L- Suroeste de Cabo Verde (20%-60%)
Jose tiene abierto un expreso al norte. Se debe salir pronto pero cuan al oeste se mueva puede ser determinante
Siempre recuerden esto:
Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
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StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda Tropical-96L- Suroeste de Cabo Verde (20%-60%)
Por fin pude entrar! Daba error!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Onda Tropical-96L- Suroeste de Cabo Verde (20%-60%)
Modelo UKM
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.5N 44.3W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 16.09.2017 36 11.5N 44.3W 1010 29
1200UTC 16.09.2017 48 12.4N 48.8W 1004 37
0000UTC 17.09.2017 60 13.3N 51.8W 1000 38
1200UTC 17.09.2017 72 14.2N 54.1W 998 43
0000UTC 18.09.2017 84 15.0N 55.5W 993 50
1200UTC 18.09.2017 96 15.8N 56.5W 988 59
0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 16.6N 57.5W 983 61
1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 17.3N 58.8W 981 61
0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 17.9N 60.2W 977 66
1200UTC 20.09.2017 144 18.5N 61.6W 973 67
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.5N 44.3W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 16.09.2017 36 11.5N 44.3W 1010 29
1200UTC 16.09.2017 48 12.4N 48.8W 1004 37
0000UTC 17.09.2017 60 13.3N 51.8W 1000 38
1200UTC 17.09.2017 72 14.2N 54.1W 998 43
0000UTC 18.09.2017 84 15.0N 55.5W 993 50
1200UTC 18.09.2017 96 15.8N 56.5W 988 59
0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 16.6N 57.5W 983 61
1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 17.3N 58.8W 981 61
0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 17.9N 60.2W 977 66
1200UTC 20.09.2017 144 18.5N 61.6W 973 67
Re: Onda Tropical-96L- Suroeste de Cabo Verde (20%-60%)
Mientras tanto el GFS
Re: Onda Tropical-96L- Suroeste de Cabo Verde (20%-60%)
Sube a 70%
CZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2017
Corrected for location of second system
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jose, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
1. A tropical wave located about 800 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely
form early next week while it moves westward at around 15 mph across
the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
alguien que saque un topico para el 97L
CZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2017
Corrected for location of second system
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jose, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
1. A tropical wave located about 800 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely
form early next week while it moves westward at around 15 mph across
the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
alguien que saque un topico para el 97L