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Huracán Irma

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digital77
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by digital77 »

WTNT31 KNHC 032050
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM AST Sun Sep 03 2017

...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO IRMA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 49.8W
ABOUT 790 MI...1275 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
islands of Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and
Nevis.

The government of the Netherlands has issued a Hurricane Watch for
the islands of Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten.

The government of France has issued a Hurricane Watch for St.
Martin and Saint Barthelemy.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
* Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy

Interests in the remainder of the Leeward Islands, the British and
U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of
Irma. Additional Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches may be
required for portions of this area on Monday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 49.8 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A westward to west-southwestward
motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected through
Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of Irma is
forecast to approach the northern Leeward Islands late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by
Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible by late
Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
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megadicto
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by megadicto »

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 49.8 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A westward to west-southwestward
motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected through
Monday night.
On the forecast track, the center of Irma is
forecast to approach the northern Leeward Islands late Tuesday.

:shock:
digital77
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by digital77 »

West. Veremos si esto persiste apenas bajo.

Veremos cómo nos ayuda esto.
StormWatch
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by StormWatch »

Con vigilancia de huracán algunas Islas de Sotavento.

Seguimos!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
boleco
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by boleco »

La trayectoria la subieron un poco más más al norte
Javier
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by Javier »

Lo único que puedo decir que el sistema retomó su rumbo al WSW se ve claramente en las imágenes de satélite. Según la Meteoróloga del canal 4 el sistema ya no va bajar más y se va hacia el oeste. Lo que puedo entender es que no se leyó el boletín del CNH de las 5pm que mal.
Hortense69
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by Hortense69 »

Javier wrote: Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:21 pm Lo único que puedo decir que el sistema retomó su rumbo al WSW se ve claramente en las imágenes de satélite. Según la Meteoróloga del canal 4 el sistema ya no va bajar más y se va hacia el oeste. Lo que puedo entender es que no se leyó el boletín del CNH de las 5pm que mal.
Eso mismo pense! Tuve q volver a leer el informe!
[i]El mejor pronóstico.... Las Horas...
[/i]


Mi opinión es de aficionada miramapas. Para información oficial favor dirigirse a: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
JosueRC
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by JosueRC »

Saludos, Irma dió un gran salto hacia el sur en las últimas 4 hr pero como quiera está más al norte del guidanse.
Se les quiere forista por su aportación a la seguridad. Seguimos aquí mirando mapas y mirando videitos como Tropical Tidbit, hurricanetracker, Ada, Roberto etc.
StormWatch
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by StormWatch »

Clarito ese movimiento...

Ojo...!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Stormegg
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by Stormegg »

Ya empeso a salir la corrida del18 del gfs, veremos
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