Tienes razon pero va directo al proximo punto
Huracán Irma
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Tic Toc Tic Toc!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Déjala que si se esmanda y se da el movimiento al sur oeste cataplumm
Las vaguadas no somos tan malas como algunos creen
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Ese movimiento sur y oeste más que de norte es la clave para mayor peligro
Las vaguadas no somos tan malas como algunos creen
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Irma is finally moving slightly south of due west at 13 kt. A
large, building Azores-Bermuda high should turn Irma toward the
west-southwest at a slower rate of speed during the next two days.
By days 3 to 5, Irma should be rounding the southwestern periphery
of the high and start turning back toward the west-northwest. The
track guidance is in tight agreement with this scenario and the
official forecast is a simply an update from the previous advisory.
Irma is a small hurricane, as observed by ship BATFR17 and the
overnight ASCAT scatterometer pass with tropical-storm-force winds
extending out at most about 60 nm. The official size forecast is
based upon the RVCN multi-model consensus technique.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 02/1500Z 18.8N 43.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 03/0000Z 18.5N 45.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 03/1200Z 18.0N 47.4W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 04/0000Z 17.4N 49.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 04/1200Z 17.1N 51.6W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 05/1200Z 17.4N 56.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
96H 06/1200Z 19.2N 60.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
120H 07/1200Z 22.0N 66.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
$$
Forecaster Landsea
large, building Azores-Bermuda high should turn Irma toward the
west-southwest at a slower rate of speed during the next two days.
By days 3 to 5, Irma should be rounding the southwestern periphery
of the high and start turning back toward the west-northwest. The
track guidance is in tight agreement with this scenario and the
official forecast is a simply an update from the previous advisory.
Irma is a small hurricane, as observed by ship BATFR17 and the
overnight ASCAT scatterometer pass with tropical-storm-force winds
extending out at most about 60 nm. The official size forecast is
based upon the RVCN multi-model consensus technique.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 02/1500Z 18.8N 43.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 03/0000Z 18.5N 45.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 03/1200Z 18.0N 47.4W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 04/0000Z 17.4N 49.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 04/1200Z 17.1N 51.6W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 05/1200Z 17.4N 56.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
96H 06/1200Z 19.2N 60.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
120H 07/1200Z 22.0N 66.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
$$
Forecaster Landsea
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Aunque no quieran que lo diga.... aquí va Next!!! Que por cierto viene por El Centro del Atlántico.
Las vaguadas no somos tan malas como algunos creen
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Todos quieren lo mismo. Pero lee lo q escribió el BOOSSSSSS!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Saludos nuevamente a todos.
Bueno ha pasado mucho y no ha pasado nada, apenas comienza la transición al oeste suroeste se acerca el momento de la verdad, por cuanto tiempo bajara y hasta donde antes de comenzar a subir nuevamente y a cuantos grados, difícil de pronosticar, los modelos ya comienzan sus corridas de las 12z y nos darán una idea.
Bueno ha pasado mucho y no ha pasado nada, apenas comienza la transición al oeste suroeste se acerca el momento de la verdad, por cuanto tiempo bajara y hasta donde antes de comenzar a subir nuevamente y a cuantos grados, difícil de pronosticar, los modelos ya comienzan sus corridas de las 12z y nos darán una idea.
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Mańana los caza huracanes
Recon begins Sunday for #Irma: @NOAA has fixes/tail Doppler radar for HWRF, then the Air Force Monday & finally the G-IV that night
Recon begins Sunday for #Irma: @NOAA has fixes/tail Doppler radar for HWRF, then the Air Force Monday & finally the G-IV that night
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
El GFS y su corrida de las 12z en 18 horas 17.3n y 47.4 a 30 horas 17n y 49.3w, a 48 horas 16.2 y 51.4w a 72 horas 16.5n y 55.7 w.