BOLETIN
Tormenta Tropical Harvey Advertencia Intermedia Numero 30A
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL092017
Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
700 PM CDT domingo 27 de agosto de 2017
...INUNDACIONES SIN PRECEDENTES ESTAN OCURRIENDO SOBRE EL SURESTE DE
TEXAS...
...NO INTENTE VIAJAR EN AREAS AFECTADAS SI SE ENCUENTRA EN UN LUGAR
SEGURO Y NO MANEJE A TRAVES DE CARRETERAS INUNDADAS...
RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...28.9 NORTE 96.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 10 MI...15 KM AL NORESTE DE VICTORIA TEXAS
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...SURESTE O 130 GRADOS A 3 MPH...6 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1000 MB...29.53 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:
Ninguno.
RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:
Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Port O'Connor hasta Sargent Texas
Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Norte de Sargent hasta San Luis Pass Texas
Inundaciones catastroficas y amenazantes a vida esta occurriendo en
el sureste de Texas y emergencias de inundaciones repentinas estan
en efecto para porciones de esta area. Favor de referirse a los
avisos y otros productos emitidos por su oficina local del Servicio
Nacional de Meteorologia para informacion adicional de esta
situacion amenazante a vida.
Para informacion especifica de su area, incluyendo posibles
vigilancias y avisos, favor mantenerse atentos a los productos
emitidos por su oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Tropical
Harvey fue localizado cerca de la latitud 28.9 Norte, longitud 96.8
Oeste. Harvey se esta moviendo hacia el sureste a cerca de 3 mph (6
km/h), y se espera que un movimiento lento hacia el sureste durante
los proximos dias. En la trayectoria pronosticada, se pronostica que
el centro de Harvey se mueva fuera del centro de la costa de Texas
el lunes y que permanezca casi estacionaria justo fuera de las
costas hasta el lunes en la noche.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan a cerca de 40 mph (75 km/h) con
rafagas mas altas. Se pronostican pocos cambios en la intensidad
durante las proximas 24 horas. Algun fortalecimiento leve es posible
despues de que el centro se mueva fuera de las costas el lunes en la
noche y martes.
Los vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 140
millas (280 km) principalmente sobre las aguas hacia el este del
centro.
La presion minima central estimada es de 1000 mb (29.53 pulgadas).
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
----------------------------
LLUVIA: Se espera que Harvey produzca acumulaciones adicionales de
lluvia de 15 a 25 pulgadas hasta el viernes sobre la costa central y
norte de Texas y suroeste de Louisiana. Acumulaciones totales en
areas aisladas podran alcanzar 50 pulgadas sobre la costa norte de
Texas, incluyendo el area metropolitana de Houston/Galveston. Estas
lluvias estan produciendo actualmente inundaciones catastroficas y
amenazantes a vida, y emergencias de inundaciones repentinas estan
en efecto para porciones del sureste de Texas. NO INTENTE VIAJAR EN
EL AREA AFECTADA SI SE ENCUENTRA EN UN LUGAR SEGURO. NO INTENTE
CONDUCIR A TRAVES DE CARRETERAS INUNDADAS. Favor de referirse a los
avisos y productos emitidos por su oficina local del Servicio
Nacional de Meteorologia para informacion adicional sobre esta
situacion que amenaza la vida.
En el resto del area, se espera que Harvey produzca acumulaciones
totales de lluvia de 5 a 15 pulgadas mas al sur hacia la costa sur
de Texas, al oeste hacia el Texas Hill Country, y al este hacia el
suroeste y centro de Louisiana.
Una lista de observaciones de lluvias recopiladas por Centro de
Prediccion del Tiempo de NOAA pueden encontrarse bajo la siguiente
direccion web: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html
MAREJADA CICLONICA: La combinacion de marejadas ciclonicas
peligrosas con las mareas causaran inundaciones en areas de las
costas regularmente secas, debido al aumento en los niveles de agua
que causara un movimiento de agua tierra adentro desde las zonas
costeras. Se espera que los niveles del agua sobrepasen los niveles
de la superficie terrestre, si el maximo de la marejada ciclonica
ocurre durante el tiempo de marea alta...
Port Aransas hasta Morgan City incluyendo Galveston Bay...1 a 3 pies
Las niveles de agua mas altos ocurriran a lo largo de la costa donde
los vientos soplen hacia tierra, y donde la marejada ciclonica
estara acompanada por olas grandes y destructivas. Inundaciones
relacionadas a la marejada ciclonica dependera del tiempo relativo
de la marejada ciclonica y el ciclo de la marea, y podrian variar
grandemente sobre distancias cortas. Para informacion especifica de
su area, favor de referirse a los productos emitidos por su oficina
local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
VIENTO: Condiciones de tormenta tropical estan ocurriendo en una
area cerca del centro de Harvey y sobre porciones del area bajo
aviso de tormenta tropical a lo largo de la costa. Es probable que
condiciones de tormenta tropical persistan en areas de vientos hacia
tierra dentro del area bajo aviso durante mas o menos el proximo
dia. Condiciones de tormenta tropical son posibles dentro de area
bajo vigilancia el lunes en la noche.
RESACAS: Las marejadas generadas por Harvey esta afectando las
costas de a Texas y Louisiana. Es probable que estas marejadas
generen olas rompientes y corrientes de resacas que pondran en
riesgo la vida humana. Favor de consultar los productos emitidos por
su oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
TORNADOS: Algunos Tornados son posibles hasta el lunes cerca de la
costa central y el extremo suroeste de Louisiana.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1000 PM CDT.
$$
Pronosticador Brennan
Traduccion Colon-Pagan
Harvey
Re: Tormenta Harvey
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
-
ROCKstormSJ4315
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 888
- Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:09 pm
- Location: Hato Rey, San Juan, PR
Re: Huracan Harvey
Esa noche estuve viendo eso en vivo, luego siguiendo LStormWatch wrote: ↑Fri Aug 25, 2017 10:16 pm Live from Periscope
El huracán Harvey con toda su furia desde la Costa Sur Rockport en Texas
EN VIVOOOOOOOOOO
https://www.pscp.tv/w/bG9_7jE3Nzk3MzR8M ... dPbkYdn-rP
los noticieros de alla, luego leyendo por las redes los pedidos de auxilio sin respuesta inmediata mientras el nivel de agua crecia en comunidades y finalmente un asilo donde el agua casi ya les llegaba a la cintura a lotos ancianos, me hacen pensar que pasaria si eso viene aqui tendriamos problemas. Aqui hay areas que si receiben mas de 30 pulgadas se inundarian incluyendo SJ. La recuperacion seria muy lenta, meses sin Luz y si los muelles quedan mal, la comida escasea. Mejor que El 93 se mueva al noroeste. Por otro lado tenemos lo que parece una secuencia sismica Al noroeste de Aguadilla y lo que parece un enjambre al norte de Culebra. Creo que acaba de temblar hace 2 mns.
"Georgy Girl", The Seekers
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
Re: Tormenta Harvey
WTNT34 KWNH 310905
TCPAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL092017
400 AM CDT THU AUG 31 2017
...FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS FAR EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.3N 92.0W
ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...S OF MONROE LOUISIANA.
ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...NNE OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EASTERN TEXAS THROUGH PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 92
WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THIS FORECAST TRACK WOULD TAKE HARVEY INTO NORTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY
REGION ON FRIDAY, AND INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY EARLY SATURDAY
BEFORE ANTICIPATED DISSIPATION BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO
5 INCHES OF RAIN FROM FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS, NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI,
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN TO CENTRAL TENNESSEE, WESTERN TO
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND INTO SOUTHERN OHIO. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI, WESTERN
TENNESSEE INTO SOUTHWEST KENTUCKY. THESE RAINS WILL ENHANCE THE
FLASH FLOODING RISK ACROSS THESE AREAS, ESPECIALLY FROM FAR
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI, WESTERN TENNESSEE AND INTO FAR SOUTHWEST
KENTUCKY.
HOWEVER CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
IN AND AROUND HOUSTON, BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR, AND EASTWARD INTO
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE EXPECTED HEAVY
RAINS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM LOUISIANA INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY
MAY ALSO LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND INCREASED RIVER AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED AREA IF
YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS.
...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4
AM CDT
...ALABAMA...
GASQUE 8.00
BONSECOUR 7.91
GRAND BAY 10.5 NE 6.81
FOLEY 7.4 SW 6.44
ELBERTA 6.31
ORANGE BEACH 6.03
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 6.01
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT 5.83
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 5.83
FAIRHOPE 5.77
GULF SHORES 5.60
SUMMERDALE 4.73
MONTROSE 4.52
DAPHNE 0.4 SW 4.42
FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL 3W 4.35
SONNY CALLAHAN ARPT 4.32
...ARKANSAS...
MAMMOTH SPRINGS 2 SSE 6.42
...FLORIDA...
MILTON 6.92
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT 6.86
UNIVERSITY WEST 2.0 WNW 6.36
PACE 5.35
GULF BREEZE 5.28
ORIOLE BEACH 2 WSW 3.01
CRESTVIEW/BOB SIKES 2.91
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 1.83
...LOUISIANA...
BAYOU CONWAY 22.25
BAYOU TORO NEAR TORO 20.62
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU 18.23
CALCASIEU RVR AT OLD TOWN BA 18.15
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD 17.85
W-6 AT WARD LINE ROAD 17.24
MOSS BLUFF 16.70
BELFIELD DITCH AT BELFIELD ROAD 16.37
IOWA 0.9 ESE 16.36
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT GOOS RD 16.02
BAYOU ARSENE AT HECKER ROAD 15.84
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171 15.74
LAKE CHARLES 11.5 SSW 15.41
RAGLEY 5.0 SE 15.18
EB L-14 AT IOWA BASEBALL FIELD 14.85
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD 14.10
TOPSY 4 NNW 14.08
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE 13.04
ZAVALLA 2 ENE 12.87
SULPHUR 2.2 E 12.54
BON WIER 2 ENE 12.44
HACKBERRY 5 SSE 12.33
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET 12.28
WELSH 0.7 W 12.26
W-4 AT NELSON ROAD 12.12
GILLIS 4 WSW 12.11
FORT POLK 11.96
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD 11.21
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90 11.02
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE 10.55
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST 9.76
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW 9.64
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE 9.37
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER 9.26
PECAN ISLAND 2 E 9.14
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 9.08
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 8.92
VERNON - FTS 8.77
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 7.14
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 5.88
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 5.33
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA 4.84
SLIDELL AIRPORT 3.82
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 3.17
...MISSISSIPPI...
GAUTIER 8.27
SANDHILL CRANE - FTS 7.90
GRAND BAY 6.06
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE 4.61
MOSS POINT - TRENT LOTT INTL ARPT 4.55
PASCAGOULA 4.54
PEARLINGTON 4.4 N 3.99
JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN 3.35
TANGIPAHOA RIVER AT OSYKA 3.15
TYLERTOWN 9 WNW 3.08
NATCHEZ/HARDY 2.91
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI 2.55
GULFPORT-BILOXI 2.40
...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942 51.88
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45 49.40
DAYTON 0.2 E 49.23
MARYS CREEK AT WINDING ROAD 49.20
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 47.35
SANTA FE 0.7 S 46.70
PASADENA 4.4 WNW 45.74
HORSEPEN CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD 45.60
SOUTH HOUSTON 4.0 SSW 44.91
BERRY BAYOU AT FOREST OAKS BLVD 44.80
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA 44.44
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 44.05
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT BURKE RD 43.52
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 43.38
LEAGUE CITY 2.7 NE 43.32
WEBSTER 0.4 NW 43.32
LNVA CHEEK CANAL AT DITCH 407 43.11
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST 42.32
ARMAND BAYOU AT GENOA-RED BLUFF RD 42.16
TURKEY CREEK AT FM 1959 42.12
BOONDOCKS RD AT TAYLORS BA 41.86
ARMAND BAYOU AT PASADENA LAKE 41.20
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1 40.44
SH 124 AT HILLEBRANDT BAYOU 38.18
MAHAW BAYOU AT ENGLIN RD 37.75
JACINTO CITY 37.60
HUNTING BAYOU AT LOOP 610 EAST 37.00
TELEPSEN 36.60
MAHAW BAYOU AT BRUSH ISLAND ROAD 36.53
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW 36.34
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD 36.32
LA PORTE 1 N 36.24
BAYTOWN 2 NW 35.64
MOUNT HOUSTON 35.60
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 33.37
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 31.26
KATY 6 NE 31.23
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 27.88
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS 27.01
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 22.84
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW 19.64
VICTORIA 3.8 NW 15.60
AUSTIN 4 SSE 10.28
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 10.07
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.6 S 6.23
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...TEXAS...
PORT ARANSAS 2 ENE 132
COPANO VILLAGE 1 ENE 125
LAMAR 2 SSW 110
ROCKPORT 1 S 108
TAFT 5 NNE 90
MAGNOLIA BEACH 8 ESE 79
EDNA 73
FLOUR BLUFF 4 ESE 72
ARANSAS PASS 7 SE 71
CLEAR LAKE SHORES 1 WSW 71
BRAZOS 451 70
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 69
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 5 SE 65
GANADO 7 S 64
LA WARD 64
BAYOU VISTA 13 E 61
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
QUINTANA 1 NE 58
SUGAR LAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
JONES CREEK 9 SW 55
LA MARQUE 2 E 55
FREEPORT 1 ESE 54
SAN LEON 19 E 54
MISSOURI CITY 1 SE 53
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 53
WEBSTER 53
BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52
GONZALES AIRPORT 52
NASSAU BAY 52
TEXAS CITY 4 ENE 52
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER SANTORELLI
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/0900Z 32.3N 92W
12HR VT 31/1800Z 33.5N 90.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 01/0600Z 35.1N 88.6W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 01/1800Z 36.3N 86.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 02/0600Z 37.5N 85.0W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
$$
TCPAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL092017
400 AM CDT THU AUG 31 2017
...FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS FAR EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.3N 92.0W
ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...S OF MONROE LOUISIANA.
ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...NNE OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EASTERN TEXAS THROUGH PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 92
WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THIS FORECAST TRACK WOULD TAKE HARVEY INTO NORTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY
REGION ON FRIDAY, AND INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY EARLY SATURDAY
BEFORE ANTICIPATED DISSIPATION BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO
5 INCHES OF RAIN FROM FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS, NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI,
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN TO CENTRAL TENNESSEE, WESTERN TO
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND INTO SOUTHERN OHIO. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI, WESTERN
TENNESSEE INTO SOUTHWEST KENTUCKY. THESE RAINS WILL ENHANCE THE
FLASH FLOODING RISK ACROSS THESE AREAS, ESPECIALLY FROM FAR
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI, WESTERN TENNESSEE AND INTO FAR SOUTHWEST
KENTUCKY.
HOWEVER CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
IN AND AROUND HOUSTON, BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR, AND EASTWARD INTO
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE EXPECTED HEAVY
RAINS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM LOUISIANA INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY
MAY ALSO LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND INCREASED RIVER AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED AREA IF
YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS.
...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4
AM CDT
...ALABAMA...
GASQUE 8.00
BONSECOUR 7.91
GRAND BAY 10.5 NE 6.81
FOLEY 7.4 SW 6.44
ELBERTA 6.31
ORANGE BEACH 6.03
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 6.01
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT 5.83
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 5.83
FAIRHOPE 5.77
GULF SHORES 5.60
SUMMERDALE 4.73
MONTROSE 4.52
DAPHNE 0.4 SW 4.42
FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL 3W 4.35
SONNY CALLAHAN ARPT 4.32
...ARKANSAS...
MAMMOTH SPRINGS 2 SSE 6.42
...FLORIDA...
MILTON 6.92
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT 6.86
UNIVERSITY WEST 2.0 WNW 6.36
PACE 5.35
GULF BREEZE 5.28
ORIOLE BEACH 2 WSW 3.01
CRESTVIEW/BOB SIKES 2.91
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 1.83
...LOUISIANA...
BAYOU CONWAY 22.25
BAYOU TORO NEAR TORO 20.62
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU 18.23
CALCASIEU RVR AT OLD TOWN BA 18.15
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD 17.85
W-6 AT WARD LINE ROAD 17.24
MOSS BLUFF 16.70
BELFIELD DITCH AT BELFIELD ROAD 16.37
IOWA 0.9 ESE 16.36
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT GOOS RD 16.02
BAYOU ARSENE AT HECKER ROAD 15.84
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171 15.74
LAKE CHARLES 11.5 SSW 15.41
RAGLEY 5.0 SE 15.18
EB L-14 AT IOWA BASEBALL FIELD 14.85
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD 14.10
TOPSY 4 NNW 14.08
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE 13.04
ZAVALLA 2 ENE 12.87
SULPHUR 2.2 E 12.54
BON WIER 2 ENE 12.44
HACKBERRY 5 SSE 12.33
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET 12.28
WELSH 0.7 W 12.26
W-4 AT NELSON ROAD 12.12
GILLIS 4 WSW 12.11
FORT POLK 11.96
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD 11.21
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90 11.02
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE 10.55
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST 9.76
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW 9.64
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE 9.37
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER 9.26
PECAN ISLAND 2 E 9.14
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 9.08
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 8.92
VERNON - FTS 8.77
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 7.14
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 5.88
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 5.33
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA 4.84
SLIDELL AIRPORT 3.82
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 3.17
...MISSISSIPPI...
GAUTIER 8.27
SANDHILL CRANE - FTS 7.90
GRAND BAY 6.06
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE 4.61
MOSS POINT - TRENT LOTT INTL ARPT 4.55
PASCAGOULA 4.54
PEARLINGTON 4.4 N 3.99
JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN 3.35
TANGIPAHOA RIVER AT OSYKA 3.15
TYLERTOWN 9 WNW 3.08
NATCHEZ/HARDY 2.91
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI 2.55
GULFPORT-BILOXI 2.40
...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942 51.88
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45 49.40
DAYTON 0.2 E 49.23
MARYS CREEK AT WINDING ROAD 49.20
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 47.35
SANTA FE 0.7 S 46.70
PASADENA 4.4 WNW 45.74
HORSEPEN CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD 45.60
SOUTH HOUSTON 4.0 SSW 44.91
BERRY BAYOU AT FOREST OAKS BLVD 44.80
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA 44.44
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 44.05
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT BURKE RD 43.52
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 43.38
LEAGUE CITY 2.7 NE 43.32
WEBSTER 0.4 NW 43.32
LNVA CHEEK CANAL AT DITCH 407 43.11
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST 42.32
ARMAND BAYOU AT GENOA-RED BLUFF RD 42.16
TURKEY CREEK AT FM 1959 42.12
BOONDOCKS RD AT TAYLORS BA 41.86
ARMAND BAYOU AT PASADENA LAKE 41.20
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1 40.44
SH 124 AT HILLEBRANDT BAYOU 38.18
MAHAW BAYOU AT ENGLIN RD 37.75
JACINTO CITY 37.60
HUNTING BAYOU AT LOOP 610 EAST 37.00
TELEPSEN 36.60
MAHAW BAYOU AT BRUSH ISLAND ROAD 36.53
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW 36.34
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD 36.32
LA PORTE 1 N 36.24
BAYTOWN 2 NW 35.64
MOUNT HOUSTON 35.60
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 33.37
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 31.26
KATY 6 NE 31.23
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 27.88
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS 27.01
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 22.84
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW 19.64
VICTORIA 3.8 NW 15.60
AUSTIN 4 SSE 10.28
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 10.07
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.6 S 6.23
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...TEXAS...
PORT ARANSAS 2 ENE 132
COPANO VILLAGE 1 ENE 125
LAMAR 2 SSW 110
ROCKPORT 1 S 108
TAFT 5 NNE 90
MAGNOLIA BEACH 8 ESE 79
EDNA 73
FLOUR BLUFF 4 ESE 72
ARANSAS PASS 7 SE 71
CLEAR LAKE SHORES 1 WSW 71
BRAZOS 451 70
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 69
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 5 SE 65
GANADO 7 S 64
LA WARD 64
BAYOU VISTA 13 E 61
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
QUINTANA 1 NE 58
SUGAR LAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
JONES CREEK 9 SW 55
LA MARQUE 2 E 55
FREEPORT 1 ESE 54
SAN LEON 19 E 54
MISSOURI CITY 1 SE 53
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 53
WEBSTER 53
BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52
GONZALES AIRPORT 52
NASSAU BAY 52
TEXAS CITY 4 ENE 52
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER SANTORELLI
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/0900Z 32.3N 92W
12HR VT 31/1800Z 33.5N 90.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 01/0600Z 35.1N 88.6W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 01/1800Z 36.3N 86.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 02/0600Z 37.5N 85.0W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
$$
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".