Harvey
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
se ve bien aqui
![Image](http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8vor.GIF)
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
Recoger toda esa energia va a tardar un buen rato. Probablemente 48 horas mas antes de poder ver ciclogenesis con 91L. No creo que el SAL y aire seco sean problema. Si estoy pensando que una tormenta moderada al sur de Puerto Rico a unas 150+ millas es posible, pero cualquer cosa que se pueda ir por el sur hay que echarle el ojo encima y no perderlo. Otra vez, echandole buenas vibras a 91L ![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_e_smile.gif)
![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_e_smile.gif)
Siempre recuerden esto:
Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
Bueno, ya podemos decir que tenemos tendencias de los modelos. Veremos que tan cerca pasa al sur de PR.
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Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
Según Best Track por aquí anda la cosaaaaaaaaa
AL, 91, 2017081500, , BEST, 0, 132N, 370W, 25, 1011, DB
13.2 - 37.0 No veo NADA en esa posición.......
![Image](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/91L/imagery/rgb_lalo-animated.gif)
AL, 91, 2017081500, , BEST, 0, 132N, 370W, 25, 1011, DB
13.2 - 37.0 No veo NADA en esa posición.......
![Image](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/91L/imagery/rgb_lalo-animated.gif)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3728
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
Ni modo...
A tropical wave extends from 22N25W to 13N27W moving W at 10-15
kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing between 21W-29W and a
maximum in 850 mb relative vorticity at the southern extent of
the wave near 13N27W. The wave is expected to inject energy into
a 1011 mb low embedded within the monsoon trough near 13N35W by
Tuesday. Environmental conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development of this low later in the week with a
medium chance for tropical cyclone formation within 5 days. Widely
scattered moderate convection is from 11N-15N between 26-33W.
A tropical wave extends from 22N25W to 13N27W moving W at 10-15
kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing between 21W-29W and a
maximum in 850 mb relative vorticity at the southern extent of
the wave near 13N27W. The wave is expected to inject energy into
a 1011 mb low embedded within the monsoon trough near 13N35W by
Tuesday. Environmental conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development of this low later in the week with a
medium chance for tropical cyclone formation within 5 days. Widely
scattered moderate convection is from 11N-15N between 26-33W.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3728
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
?
![Image](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/91L/imagery/rbtop_lalo-animated.gif)
![Image](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/91L/imagery/rbtop_lalo-animated.gif)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3728
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
StormWatch wrote: ↑Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:06 pm Según Best Track por aquí anda la cosaaaaaaaaa
AL, 91, 2017081500, , BEST, 0, 132N, 370W, 25, 1011, DB
13.2 - 37.0 No veo NADA en esa posición.......
![]()
![Question :?:](./images/smilies/icon_question.gif)
![Question :?:](./images/smilies/icon_question.gif)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
que sera que ven esto modelo que yo no veo´
![Image](http://www.ral.ucar.edu/hurricanes/realtime/plots/northatlantic/2017/al912017/intensity_early/aal91_2017081500_intensity_early.png)
![Image](http://www.ral.ucar.edu/hurricanes/realtime/plots/northatlantic/2017/al912017/intensity_early/aal91_2017081500_intensity_early.png)
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3728
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
Cuando se forme me dan un CALL!
![Image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DHPFKSdVYAAEemy?format=jpg&name=large)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%
En mi opinion, lo que sea saldra de lo que está por la 30o combinado. Que creen??