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Depresión Tropical #4 en el Atlántico

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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

70% - 80%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 4 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the well-defined
low pressure system located about 750 miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing winds to near tropical storm force
close to the center. Showers and thunderstorms have increased and
become a little better organized over the past several hours and, if
this recent development trend continues, a tropical depression or a
tropical storm could form later today or on Wednesday. The low is
expected to move slowly westward today, and then move toward the
west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph by tonight and on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

70% - 80%
En cualquier momento del día de hoy podrá ser nombrado Don!

Feliz 4 de Julio

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

Viene Don dale! :lol:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

#Invest94L
Tropical formation ALERT!
Position: 9.2 N - 33.3 W @NHC_Atlantic @NHC_TAFB #94L #Tropics #Don

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

Boletín de las 8am sin cambio alguno!

70% - 80% :ugeek:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

El cono como q subió un poco más al Norte! :roll:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 4 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Early morning satellite images indicate that the cloud pattern
associated with the low pressure system located about 800 miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has not changed very
much in organization. Environmental conditions, however, are
favorable for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form
within the next 24 hours or so while the low moves westward or
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Avila
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

Después de las 96 horas q pasará?

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
David1979
Invest
Invest
Posts: 151
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 1:01 pm

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by David1979 »

Tal como sospechabamos al principio, parece que sera la segunda onda, la situada mas al este, la que se hara cargo de originar el ciclon que ya llevamos mas de 3 dias esperando.__De la forma y manera en que pinta el "ambiente" no parece que el futuro Don vaya a ser un sistema robusto y saludable, al menos en lo que resta de semana...la masa de aire seco y estable sigue intacta esperando su paso__Claro que se ve muy bien ahora, pero una vez que coja vuelo y se desligue de la vaguada monzonica, se le pueden poner los huevos a peseta en esa zona mas al norte__Eso espero, y es lo que mas nos "conviene" en terminos de trayectoria futura, si el ciclon ignora lo del aire seco (que dudo mucho) y se mantiene en buena condicion, sera muy cuesta arriba traerlo al Caribe.__Si sobrevive hasta el norte de las islas, parece que las condiciones estaran mas que favorables para su posterior fortalecimiento...pero tiene que llegar a ese punto y eso esta por verse__A observar y crucen los dedos pa que no suba mucho...el aire seco es nuestro complice ahora...no tanto que lo ahogue, pero que lo empuje a nuestras playas en busca de brisa fresca...aaaah....
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 94L en el Atlántico este

Post by StormWatch »

Seguimos igual!

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 4 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite images indicate that the cloud pattern associated with the
broad area of low pressure centered about 800 miles west-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands has not become any better organized
today. Environmental conditions are still favorable for a tropical
cyclone to form within the next day or two while the low moves
westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Avila
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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