Tormenta Tropical Bret al sureste de Islas de Barlovento
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StormWatch
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Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
Año tras año tras año..............SAL
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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hurrizonepr
- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
Buenos Dias: A la verdad no entiendo los nuevos dizque "productos"para esta temporada 2017 . Historicamente un sistema con vientos sostenidos de 35 MPH era clasificado como depresion tropical y ya con vientos sostenidos de 40mph como tormenta. Pero ahora se le llama "potential cyclone alert".Si entiendo bien, esto reduciria la cantidad de tormentas con nombres en la temporada, pues en este momento este sistema conocido como "two" (2) tiene vientos sostenidos de 40mph y no tiene nombre aun
Para el que sepa la razon de este cambio perdone mi ignorancia. Pero debe existir alguna razon de peso para esta transformacion en la meteorologia tropical conocida hasta hoy.
Para el que sepa la razon de este cambio perdone mi ignorancia. Pero debe existir alguna razon de peso para esta transformacion en la meteorologia tropical conocida hasta hoy.
Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
No afecta el número de sistemas nombrados. Lo de "Potential Tropical cyclone" es otro nombre para un Invest pero con alto % de desarrollo.
Si ese nuevo término no hubiese entrado al juego, este sistema seguiría siendo in Invest. Recuerda que para clasificar como depresión o tormenta, no solamente hacen falta los vientos, se necesita cierta estructura y una circulación completamente cerrada. Esa última es lo que le falta todavía a este Invest/Potential Tropical Cyclone.
El efecto de este nuevo término es solo que se emite un boletín oficial con trayectoria y de ser necesario, avisos y vigilancias.
Si ese nuevo término no hubiese entrado al juego, este sistema seguiría siendo in Invest. Recuerda que para clasificar como depresión o tormenta, no solamente hacen falta los vientos, se necesita cierta estructura y una circulación completamente cerrada. Esa última es lo que le falta todavía a este Invest/Potential Tropical Cyclone.
El efecto de este nuevo término es solo que se emite un boletín oficial con trayectoria y de ser necesario, avisos y vigilancias.
hurrizonepr wrote:Buenos Dias: A la verdad no entiendo los nuevos dizque "productos"para esta temporada 2017 . Historicamente un sistema con vientos sostenidos de 35 MPH era clasificado como depresion tropical y ya con vientos sostenidos de 40mph como tormenta. Pero ahora se le llama "potential cyclone alert".Si entiendo bien, esto reduciria la cantidad de tormentas con nombres en la temporada, pues en este momento este sistema conocido como "two" (2) tiene vientos sostenidos de 40mph y no tiene nombre aun
Para el que sepa la razon de este cambio perdone mi ignorancia. Pero debe existir alguna razon de peso para esta transformacion en la meteorologia tropical conocida hasta hoy.
Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
saludos a todos el avion ya en la zona de las islas. Esperando la informacon sobre el posible sistema
Bertry
Solo una aficionada de la Meteorologia. Para informacion Oficial refierase al NWS en San Juan . Y al NHC en Miami http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Solo una aficionada de la Meteorologia. Para informacion Oficial refierase al NWS en San Juan . Y al NHC en Miami http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
200 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
DISTURBANCE TO DETERMINE IF IT IS A TROPICAL STORM...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.8N 57.8W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM ESE OF TRINIDAD
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SE OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for that
country.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Trinidad
* Tobago
* Grenada
* Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bonaire
* Curacao
* Aruba
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
8.8 North, longitude 57.8 West. The system is moving toward the west
near 25 mph (41 km/h). A fast motion toward the west-northwest is
expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the
disturbance is expected to move through the Windward Islands and
near the eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and early Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and
the disturbance is forecast to be a tropical storm when it moves
through the Windward Islands and eastern Venezuela tonight and
Tuesday.
Thunderstorm activity associated with the disturbance continues to
show signs of organization, and additional development is likely
during the next day before the system interacts with Venezuela.
* Formation chance through 48 hours... high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach
portions of the warning area tonight, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous.
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the
eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and Tuesday.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Landsea
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
200 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
DISTURBANCE TO DETERMINE IF IT IS A TROPICAL STORM...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.8N 57.8W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM ESE OF TRINIDAD
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SE OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for that
country.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Trinidad
* Tobago
* Grenada
* Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bonaire
* Curacao
* Aruba
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
8.8 North, longitude 57.8 West. The system is moving toward the west
near 25 mph (41 km/h). A fast motion toward the west-northwest is
expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the
disturbance is expected to move through the Windward Islands and
near the eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and early Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and
the disturbance is forecast to be a tropical storm when it moves
through the Windward Islands and eastern Venezuela tonight and
Tuesday.
Thunderstorm activity associated with the disturbance continues to
show signs of organization, and additional development is likely
during the next day before the system interacts with Venezuela.
* Formation chance through 48 hours... high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach
portions of the warning area tonight, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous.
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the
eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and Tuesday.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Landsea
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
Nació Bret. Y se mueve al oeste-noroeste a 30mph
Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
00
WTNT32 KNHC 192041
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
500 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FIND THE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 59.8W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF TRINIDAD
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SE OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Trinidad
* Tobago
* Grenada
* Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bonaire
* Curacao
* Aruba
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was
located by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft to be near
latitude 9.4 North, longitude 59.8 West. Bret is moving toward the
west-northwest near 30 mph (48 km/h) and is expected to continue at
a slightly slower speed over the next 48 hours. On the forecast
track, the tropical storm is expected to move near or over Trinidad
and the eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and early Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center, mainly north of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach
portions of the warning area tonight, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous.
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the
eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and Tuesday.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Landsea
WTNT32 KNHC 192041
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
500 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FIND THE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 59.8W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF TRINIDAD
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SE OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Trinidad
* Tobago
* Grenada
* Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bonaire
* Curacao
* Aruba
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was
located by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft to be near
latitude 9.4 North, longitude 59.8 West. Bret is moving toward the
west-northwest near 30 mph (48 km/h) and is expected to continue at
a slightly slower speed over the next 48 hours. On the forecast
track, the tropical storm is expected to move near or over Trinidad
and the eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and early Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center, mainly north of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach
portions of the warning area tonight, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous.
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the
eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and Tuesday.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Landsea
Bertry
Solo una aficionada de la Meteorologia. Para informacion Oficial refierase al NWS en San Juan . Y al NHC en Miami http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Solo una aficionada de la Meteorologia. Para informacion Oficial refierase al NWS en San Juan . Y al NHC en Miami http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
WTNT42 KNHC 192042
TCDAT2
Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
500 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017
An Air Force WC-130 invest mission this afternoon into the
disturbance was able - after much effort - to find a well-defined
closed circulation. The location of the center was substantially
farther west than anticipated, as the system is now moving toward
the west-northwest at a very quick 26 kt. Because the system
has developed a well-defined center, it is now considered a tropical
storm and has been named Bret.
Convection continues to display robust bands on the northwestern
and southeastern quadrants of the disturbance, as seen in the
geostationary satellite and Trinidad radar imagery. The Hurricane
Hunter mission also found maximum surface winds of about 35 kt,
which agrees with the Dvorak 2.5 CI number from TAFB. These winds
are only occurring in the northern semicircle due to the very quick
translational velocity of the system.
While the convective structure has been impressive today, it
appears that the window of opportunity for the system to
further develop is closing. Between interaction with the landmass
of Venezuela and increasing vertical shear beginning in about a day,
the intensity model guidance does not show any significant
intensification. The official intensity forecast is steady state
for about a day, followed by gradual weakening until dissipation in
about three days. An alternative scenario - given that the
disturbance has tracked left, or equatorward, of the guidance thus
far - is that it could remain south of the forecast track and
dissipate over Venezuela and never reach the Caribbean Sea.
The system is anticipated to slow somewhat, but still move at a
rapid rate toward the west-northwest until dissipation, steered by
strong trade winds south of the Bermuda high. The official track
forecast is based upon the HCCA corrected consensus technique and is
faster compared with the previous advisory, due to the farther west
initial position.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/2100Z 9.4N 59.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 20/0600Z 10.1N 62.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 20/1800Z 11.3N 65.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 21/0600Z 12.2N 68.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 21/1800Z 13.0N 73.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Landsea
TCDAT2
Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
500 PM AST Mon Jun 19 2017
An Air Force WC-130 invest mission this afternoon into the
disturbance was able - after much effort - to find a well-defined
closed circulation. The location of the center was substantially
farther west than anticipated, as the system is now moving toward
the west-northwest at a very quick 26 kt. Because the system
has developed a well-defined center, it is now considered a tropical
storm and has been named Bret.
Convection continues to display robust bands on the northwestern
and southeastern quadrants of the disturbance, as seen in the
geostationary satellite and Trinidad radar imagery. The Hurricane
Hunter mission also found maximum surface winds of about 35 kt,
which agrees with the Dvorak 2.5 CI number from TAFB. These winds
are only occurring in the northern semicircle due to the very quick
translational velocity of the system.
While the convective structure has been impressive today, it
appears that the window of opportunity for the system to
further develop is closing. Between interaction with the landmass
of Venezuela and increasing vertical shear beginning in about a day,
the intensity model guidance does not show any significant
intensification. The official intensity forecast is steady state
for about a day, followed by gradual weakening until dissipation in
about three days. An alternative scenario - given that the
disturbance has tracked left, or equatorward, of the guidance thus
far - is that it could remain south of the forecast track and
dissipate over Venezuela and never reach the Caribbean Sea.
The system is anticipated to slow somewhat, but still move at a
rapid rate toward the west-northwest until dissipation, steered by
strong trade winds south of the Bermuda high. The official track
forecast is based upon the HCCA corrected consensus technique and is
faster compared with the previous advisory, due to the farther west
initial position.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/2100Z 9.4N 59.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 20/0600Z 10.1N 62.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 20/1800Z 11.3N 65.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 21/0600Z 12.2N 68.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 21/1800Z 13.0N 73.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Landsea
Bertry
Solo una aficionada de la Meteorologia. Para informacion Oficial refierase al NWS en San Juan . Y al NHC en Miami http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Solo una aficionada de la Meteorologia. Para informacion Oficial refierase al NWS en San Juan . Y al NHC en Miami http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Re: Invest 92L (60/60) Estesureste de Islas de Barlovento
Aqui en español
BOLETIN
CICLON TROPICAL BRET ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 5
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL022017
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST LUNES 19 DE JUNIO DE 2017
...EL AVION CAZAHURACANES MUESTRA QUE EL DISTURBIO SE HA
TORNADO EN TORMENTA TROPICAL...
RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...9.4 NORTE 59.8 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 125 MI...200 KM AL SURESTE DE TRINIDAD
ALREDEDOR DE 225 MI...365 KM AL SURESTE DE GRENADA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 290 GRADOS A 30 MPH...48 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1007 MB...29.74 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:
Ninguno.
RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIA O AVISOS EN EFECTO:
Un Aviso de Tromenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Trinidad
* Tobago
* Grenada
* Venezuela desde Pedernales a Cumana incluyendo la Isla de Margarita
Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Bonaire
* Curacao
* Aruba
Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que se esperan condiciones
de tormenta tropical dentro del area bajo aviso, en este caso dentro
de 24 horas.
Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de
tormenta tropical es posible dentro del area bajo vigilancia,
generalmente dentro de 48 horas.
Para informacion especifica para su area, favor estar atentos a los
productos emitidos por el Servicio Meteorologico Nacional.
DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), el centro de la tormenta tripical Bret
estaba localizado por un Avion Cazahuracanes de la Fuerza Aerea
cerca de la latitude 9.4 norte, longitud 59.8 oeste. Bret se mueve
hacia el oeste noroeste a cerca de 30 mph (48 km/h) y se espera
continue a una velocidad un poco mas lento durante las proximas 48
horas. En la trayectoria pronosticada, se espera que la tormenta
tropical se mueva cerca o sobre Trinidad y la costa este de
Venezuela esta noche y temprano el martes.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan a cerca de 40 mph (65 km/h) con
rafagas mas altas. Se espera poco cambio en la intensidad durante
las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 80 millas
(130 km) del centro, mayormente al norte del centro.
La presion central minima estimada es 1007 mb (29.74 pulgadas).
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO: Condiciones de Tormenta Tropical se anticipa que primero
alcancen porciones del area bajo aviso esta noche, haciendo los
preparativos externos dificil o peligrosos.
LLUVIA: Se espera que el disturbio produzca acumulacion total de
lluvia entre 2 y 4 pulgadas sobre las Islas de Barlovento y el
noreste de Venezuela esta noche y martes.
LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
----------------------
Proxima advertencia intermedia a las 800 PM AST.
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 PM AST.
$$
Pronosticador Landsea
Traduccion Cotto
BOLETIN
CICLON TROPICAL BRET ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 5
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL022017
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST LUNES 19 DE JUNIO DE 2017
...EL AVION CAZAHURACANES MUESTRA QUE EL DISTURBIO SE HA
TORNADO EN TORMENTA TROPICAL...
RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...9.4 NORTE 59.8 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 125 MI...200 KM AL SURESTE DE TRINIDAD
ALREDEDOR DE 225 MI...365 KM AL SURESTE DE GRENADA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 290 GRADOS A 30 MPH...48 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1007 MB...29.74 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:
Ninguno.
RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIA O AVISOS EN EFECTO:
Un Aviso de Tromenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Trinidad
* Tobago
* Grenada
* Venezuela desde Pedernales a Cumana incluyendo la Isla de Margarita
Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Bonaire
* Curacao
* Aruba
Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que se esperan condiciones
de tormenta tropical dentro del area bajo aviso, en este caso dentro
de 24 horas.
Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de
tormenta tropical es posible dentro del area bajo vigilancia,
generalmente dentro de 48 horas.
Para informacion especifica para su area, favor estar atentos a los
productos emitidos por el Servicio Meteorologico Nacional.
DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), el centro de la tormenta tripical Bret
estaba localizado por un Avion Cazahuracanes de la Fuerza Aerea
cerca de la latitude 9.4 norte, longitud 59.8 oeste. Bret se mueve
hacia el oeste noroeste a cerca de 30 mph (48 km/h) y se espera
continue a una velocidad un poco mas lento durante las proximas 48
horas. En la trayectoria pronosticada, se espera que la tormenta
tropical se mueva cerca o sobre Trinidad y la costa este de
Venezuela esta noche y temprano el martes.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan a cerca de 40 mph (65 km/h) con
rafagas mas altas. Se espera poco cambio en la intensidad durante
las proximas 48 horas.
Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 80 millas
(130 km) del centro, mayormente al norte del centro.
La presion central minima estimada es 1007 mb (29.74 pulgadas).
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO: Condiciones de Tormenta Tropical se anticipa que primero
alcancen porciones del area bajo aviso esta noche, haciendo los
preparativos externos dificil o peligrosos.
LLUVIA: Se espera que el disturbio produzca acumulacion total de
lluvia entre 2 y 4 pulgadas sobre las Islas de Barlovento y el
noreste de Venezuela esta noche y martes.
LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
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Proxima advertencia intermedia a las 800 PM AST.
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 PM AST.
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Pronosticador Landsea
Traduccion Cotto
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
Re: Tormenta Tropical Bret al sureste de Islas de Barlovento
Saludos a todos nuevamente en otra temporada de huracanes y mas temprano que en otras ya con disturbios viniendome del pasillo del Africa. Pregunta que es ESO de que ahora le llaman Potential Tropical Cyclone a Los disturbios aun teniendo 40 MPH. En mis tiempos ESO ya era tormenta tropical. Gracias por la orientación.
Disclaimer: "Solo soy otro fan de la meteorolgia...para informacion mas precisa vaya a buscarla del NHC y del SNM.... No soy la voz oficial de comunicaciones de la AAA asi que pendiente a sus anuncios oficiales en los medios de comunicación de prensa escrita, radial, televisiva, redes socials, etc."