Lo que me temia ayer cuando dije que me preocupaba la imagen del "Puerto Rico - Visible Loop". La lluvia horrible. Y me preocupa lo que esta al sur de La Espanola. Pareciera otro Low
. Si eso se mueve mas hacia RD y PR, las cosas estaran dificiles. Espero que las personas esten pendientes a las condiciones del tiempo en ambas islas.
En cuanto al Invest 90, Los dos modelos principales que yo llamo (Pimpinela), es decir el de EU-GFS y el Europeo-ECMWF, sugieren que el sistema se ira al oeste. Yo de nuevo prefiero esperar a que el sistema se forme. Por ahora, en mi caso, creo que el margen de error estadistico es alto. Obvio que para algun lado se ira virtualmente, solo que por ahora yo no apuesto a ningun modelo.
Aqui el ultimo informe de NHC en Miami:
"SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
315 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to update discussion on the
low pressure area in the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
1. Updated: Reports from an Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance
aircraft indicate that the low pressure area over the extreme
southwestern Caribbean Sea has a well-defined low-level
circulation. However, satellite images indicate that the system
currently lacks sufficient organized thunderstorm activity to be
designated as a tropical cyclone. An increase in thunderstorm
activity could result in the formation of a tropical depression at
any time within the next day or two while the system moves very
slowly. For additional information on this system, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
at
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
Forecaster Pasch"