Huracán Matthew

[huracan_1975]

esa vaguada al norte de RD. no se quiere mover quizas ayude a moverlo mas cerca .

[StormWatch]

Hmmmmmmmm!

[StormWatch]

5 dias en el Caribe? Waooooooooooooo! Todo es posible!
Jugamos ajedrez?

[huracan_1975]

data del 1er vortice del caza encontrado ..

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 28th day of the month at 17:40Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5303
Mission Purpose: Investigate fifth suspect area (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 11
A. Time of Center Fix: 28th day of the month at 17:11:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 13°45'N 61°12'W (13.75N 61.2W)
B. Center Fix Location: 23 statute miles (37 km) to the SW (218°) from Castries, Saint Lucia.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 36kts (~ 41.4mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 145 nautical miles (167 statute miles) to the ESE (113°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 152° at 39kts (From the SSE at ~ 44.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 145 nautical miles (167 statute miles) to the ESE (113°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1009mb (29.80 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 451m (1,480ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 298m (978ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 20°C (68°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Levels (sfc and flt lvl centers are within 5nm of each other): Surface and 1,500 feet
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles

Remarks Section:
Maximum Outbound and Flight Level Wind: 62kts (~ 71.3mph) which was observed 84 nautical miles (97 statute miles) to the NNW (342°) from the flight level center at 17:35:00Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: Below 1,500 feet
General Notes About Vortex Messages:

[StormWatch]

Via Storm2K:
TS force winds north of 15N

As of 17:35 UTC Sep 28, 2016:
Aircraft Position: 15.12°N 61.63°W
Bearing: 0° at 240 kt
Altitude: 458 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 63 kt at 97°

[StormWatch]

000
WTNT34 KNHC 281747
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
200 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 61.3W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SW OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NNW OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe and Martinique
* St. Lucia
* Dominica, Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning.

Interests in Bonaire, Curacao, Aruba, and elsewhere in the Lesser
Antilles should monitor the progress of Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was
located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 61.3 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h). A westward motion with
some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will move away
from the Windward Islands through this evening, and be over the
eastern and central Caribbean Sea through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days,
and Matthew could become a hurricane by Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
primarily to the northeast of the center. Winds of 39 mph (63
km/h) were recently reported on Barbados, and a weather station on
Martinique recently observed sustained winds of 47 mph (75 km/h)
with gusts to 60 mph (97 km/h).

The minimum central pressure estimated from recent reconnaissance
data is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread over
the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands within
the warning area this afternoon and continue into this evening.

RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and
southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday. These
rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north
into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and
British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

[StormWatch]

At 2pm

[Villafañe]

Excelente punto, la vaguada al norte de R.D. todavía es capaz de seducir a Matthew.

esa vaguada al norte de RD. no se quiere mover quizas ayude a moverlo mas cerca .

[Hugo1989]

dudo mucho que dure 24 horas con vientos de tormenta. Esto se ve mejor estructuralmente en cada imagen del satelite.

[Vigilante]

dudo mucho que dure 24 horas con vientos de tormenta. Esto se ve mejor estructuralmente en cada imagen del satelite.

Podríamos tener un cat 1 pasando al Sur.