Huracán Matthew
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- Tormenta Tropical
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Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el GFS 00Z .. tiene al sistema al sur de RD , moviendose lentamnte al norte.... como un fuerte huracan cat 4 . la trayectroia se ajusta un poco mas al este en esta corrida .
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- Tormenta Tropical
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Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
EL GFS 00z.. a 156 horas tiene al sistema moviendose lentamente directo al norte y tocando tierra Dominicana, Barahora y haiti , pero mas para RD. como un huracan cat 4.
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- Tormenta Tropical
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Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el CMC 00Z .. tiene el sistema moviendose mas rapido y como un cat 4 . pero subiendo directo al norte entre jamaica , cuba y haiti .
Last edited by huracan_1975 on Mon Sep 26, 2016 12:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
Últimas tres corridas del GFS muestran ajuste a la derecha. A las 00z rozando la península de Barahona para entrar por Haití como un categoría 3 fuerte a 4. El plazo de horas es 150, así que el margen de error es moderado. Seguimos.
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
Ensembles del GFS un poco mas al este
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Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el HWRF 00Z . tiene al sistema moviendose un poco mas rapido . para estar el dia 29 sept temprano ,en la lat . 14.0 y 62.2 como huracan cat 2 . todavia la corrida no termina ...
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Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el HWRF 00z. a 99 hora como un potente huracan cat 3 . al sur de PR. moviendose lento , en la lat 15.5 y 65. 5 ...
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Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
HWRF 00Z.... 102 , horas -- al sur de PR .
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 50%-90%
Señores... esa corrida del HWRF mete miedo... hasta el mas optimista de nosotros no querra ver esa corrida...
este modelo se lo esta cogiendo personal y va enserio
pero de todos modos por cuestiones de record tengo que ponerla
este modelo se lo esta cogiendo personal y va enserio
pero de todos modos por cuestiones de record tengo que ponerla
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 50%-90%
000
ABNT20 KNHC 260527
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a large low
pressure area located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands has increased and become a little better organized
since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week while the low moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Windward
Islands, the southeastern and south-central Caribbean Sea, as well
as the northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
$$
Forecaster Stewart
ABNT20 KNHC 260527
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a large low
pressure area located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands has increased and become a little better organized
since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week while the low moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Windward
Islands, the southeastern and south-central Caribbean Sea, as well
as the northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
$$
Forecaster Stewart