Huracán Matthew
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/50% (Pouch 39L)
SUBIOOOOOOOOOOO 10-60%
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is
located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. This disturbance is expected to move rapidly westward
across the tropical Atlantic Ocean at 20 to 25 mph for the next
several days. Environmental conditions are expected to become
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could
form while the system approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into
the Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Forecaster Brennan
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is
located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. This disturbance is expected to move rapidly westward
across the tropical Atlantic Ocean at 20 to 25 mph for the next
several days. Environmental conditions are expected to become
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could
form while the system approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into
the Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Forecaster Brennan
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/50% (Pouch 39L)
2PM
Up 10% - 60%
Up 10% - 60%
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)
Esta corrida del navgem lo mueve más lento los desarrolla muy bien antes de las Antillas y para el 30 de septiembre está cerca de la 15n cerca de las Antillas, en una posición de azote. Veremos.
Alberto wrote:Tendremos Azote directo de este sistema
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/50% (Pouch 39L)
Asi estan las cosas!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/50% (Pouch 39L)
Que no se nos vaya la Mano pidiendo que suba, jajaj.. por otro lado pone la cosa mas interesante.......
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)
Así es Alberto nos pone en el centro del cono de posibilidades
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)
Y así va esto!
Imagen actual.....Looking Gooooodddddddd!
Imagen actual.....Looking Gooooodddddddd!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)
Si los Bams se mueven hacia nosotros cuando sea Invest, no tengo duda de que el cono se inclina un poco al Norte. Hay que ver si el GFS cambia, porque el GFS a veces se empeña en una ruta y tarda en cambiar, como sucedió con Karl, que por varias corridas lo ponía sobre la isla.Javier wrote:Así es Alberto nos pone en el centro del cono de posibilidades
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)
Hablando de Karl... hace cuatro dias el EURO mostraba a Karl casi 400 kilometros de diferencia de donde lo inicio hoy...
y en esta corrida hubo un poco de reajuste a la derecha al final de la corrida, con relacion a la onda tropical en el centro del atlantico
y en esta corrida hubo un poco de reajuste a la derecha al final de la corrida, con relacion a la onda tropical en el centro del atlantico
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)
Ya ven el porque de los modelos, cuando ni siquiera este Pouch 39 es Invest!
Primero q se forme, y luegoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
Primero q se forme, y luegoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]