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StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/50% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

SUBIOOOOOOOOOOO 10-60%
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is
located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. This disturbance is expected to move rapidly westward
across the tropical Atlantic Ocean at 20 to 25 mph for the next
several days. Environmental conditions are expected to become
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could
form while the system approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into
the Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Forecaster Brennan
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/50% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

2PM

Up 10% - 60%

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Villafañe
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by Villafañe »

Esta corrida del navgem lo mueve más lento los desarrolla muy bien antes de las Antillas y para el 30 de septiembre está cerca de la 15n cerca de las Antillas, en una posición de azote. Veremos.
Alberto wrote:Tendremos Azote directo de este sistema

Image
StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/50% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

Asi estan las cosas!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Alberto
Onda Tropical
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/50% (Pouch 39L)

Post by Alberto »

Que no se nos vaya la Mano pidiendo que suba, jajaj.. por otro lado pone la cosa mas interesante.......


Image
Javier
Invest
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Joined: Thu Sep 05, 2013 12:50 am

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)

Post by Javier »

Así es Alberto nos pone en el centro del cono de posibilidades
StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

Y así va esto!
Imagen actual.....Looking Gooooodddddddd! :mrgreen:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Alberto
Onda Tropical
Onda Tropical
Posts: 79
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2016 8:40 pm

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)

Post by Alberto »

Javier wrote:Así es Alberto nos pone en el centro del cono de posibilidades
Si los Bams se mueven hacia nosotros cuando sea Invest, no tengo duda de que el cono se inclina un poco al Norte. Hay que ver si el GFS cambia, porque el GFS a veces se empeña en una ruta y tarda en cambiar, como sucedió con Karl, que por varias corridas lo ponía sobre la isla.
Arlequín
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)

Post by Arlequín »

Hablando de Karl... hace cuatro dias el EURO mostraba a Karl casi 400 kilometros de diferencia de donde lo inicio hoy...
Image
Image
y en esta corrida hubo un poco de reajuste a la derecha al final de la corrida, con relacion a la onda tropical en el centro del atlantico
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 10/60% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

Ya ven el porque de los modelos, cuando ni siquiera este Pouch 39 es Invest!

Primero q se forme, y luegoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo :twisted:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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