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boleco
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by boleco »

yo no creo que un huracan pase tan al sur
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karl, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda, and on
Tropical Storm Lisa, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

1. A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is expected to move
rapidly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean at 20 to
25 mph for the next several days. Environmental conditions could
be conducive for some gradual development while the system
approaches the Lesser Antilles early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Avila

Image
The initial position (the x) has barely moved since the system first appeared on the map.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

Si esto llegara a cambiar más al Norte cuando se forme PR estará en un estado catatonico y más aún si es un categoría 4

Esto fue en el boletín de las 2am
Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
boleco
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by boleco »

parece que habra una super alta presion
edgardo
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by edgardo »

Ada Monzon en facebook: "Hay que estar pendiente: Onda tropical activa, hoy cerca de Africa, se moverá al oeste y llegará al Caribe el jueves 29 sept. Duda: intensidad y trayectoria exacta. #vigilante #huracanes2016"
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

OPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karl, located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda, and on
Tropical Storm Lisa, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

1. A tropical wave located about 350 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde
Islands is expected to move rapidly westward across the tropical
Atlantic Ocean at 20 to 25 mph for the next several days.
Environmental conditions could be conducive for some gradual
development while the system approaches the Lesser Antilles next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Brennan
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
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Cat. 3
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

Ahora parte de las Antillas Menores en el cono de probabilidades

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by StormWatch »

Imagen actual

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
boleco
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by boleco »

Image
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Re: Onda saliendo de África Amarillo 0-20% (Pouch 39L)

Post by Vigilante »

Editado para reafirmar que la gráfica anterior es una simulación basada en las corridas de los modelos. No es una gráfica del Centro Nacional de Huracanes.
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
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