Depresión Tropical Karl (Invest 95L)
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
Así están los modelitos con la Depresión...Jaaaa!
Hoy dia con tanta tecnología deben tirar al zafacon TODOS los modelos de pronóstico, y aún más cuando los boletines son cada 6 horas! Muchas cosas pueden ocurrir! El mejor ejemplo?
Julia!
Tomaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!
Hoy dia con tanta tecnología deben tirar al zafacon TODOS los modelos de pronóstico, y aún más cuando los boletines son cada 6 horas! Muchas cosas pueden ocurrir! El mejor ejemplo?
Julia!
Tomaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
Que tan al Sur podrá bajar......
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
se esta moviendo al OSO ya?StormWatch wrote:
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
Algunos ensemble member comienzan a traer lo q sea de este sistema al Caribe. No hay consenso en esa trayectoria pq tampoco hay consenso con la intensidad.
En mi opinión personal me inclino mas con los q lo mueven mas hacia la izquierda ya q no apuesto a un sistema de mucha intensidad.
En mi opinión personal me inclino mas con los q lo mueven mas hacia la izquierda ya q no apuesto a un sistema de mucha intensidad.
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
adema el sistema que mas la ara subir es el sistema que se formara detra y forsara ala alta presionObi-Wan wrote:Algunos ensemble member comienzan a traer lo q sea de este sistema al Caribe. No hay consenso en esa trayectoria pq tampoco hay consenso con la intensidad.
En mi opinión personal me inclino mas con los q lo mueven mas hacia la izquierda ya q no apuesto a un sistema de mucha intensidad.
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
Boletín 11pm
000
WTNT32 KNHC 150257
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
1100 PM AST WED SEP 14 2016
...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 27.5W
ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve
was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 27.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and
this motion is expected to continue for the the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the center of the depression will continue to
move away from the Cabo Verde Islands.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slight strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and the
depression could become a tropical storm on Thursday. On Friday,
some weakening could occur as the cyclone encounters unfavorable
upper-level winds.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands through tonight.
RAINFALL: Locally heavy rains are expected over western portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands through Thursday.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
000
WTNT32 KNHC 150257
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
1100 PM AST WED SEP 14 2016
...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 27.5W
ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve
was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 27.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and
this motion is expected to continue for the the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the center of the depression will continue to
move away from the Cabo Verde Islands.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slight strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and the
depression could become a tropical storm on Thursday. On Friday,
some weakening could occur as the cyclone encounters unfavorable
upper-level winds.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands through tonight.
RAINFALL: Locally heavy rains are expected over western portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands through Thursday.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
Trayectoria del NHC a las 11pm
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Depresión Tropical #12 (Ex Invest 95L)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]