Tormenta Hermine (Invest 99L)

[categoria5]

PARECE QUE SERA UN DIA LLUVIOSO PARA PUERTO RICO

[ROCKstormSJ4315]

Interesante la ultima discusion de la oficina del NWS en San Juan:

"Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
958 PM AST TUE AUG 23 2016

.UPDATE...Strong tropical wave continues to get better organized
as it moves closer to the local area. As 8 pm AST...the latest
Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center
indicated there is a 50% chance of this system to develop into a
tropical depression the next day or two. Band of showers
associated with this system are spreading across the coastal
waters...with some showers approaching the northern coastal
waters. These showers will be more frequent overnight as the
Tropical Wave approaches the local area. Flash flood watch will be
in effect early Wednesday morning through at least Wednesday
night. Residents and visitors in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin
Islands should closely monitor the progress of this system. Stay
tuned.

&&

.AVIATION...Strong tropical wave just east of the Leeward terminals
will continue to move west-northwest through the fcst period,
impacting all terminals. SHRA/TSRA associated to the wave will
result mainly in MVFR conds to tempo IFR. Showers and TSTMS are
increasing across the Atlantic waters and are expected to become
more frequent after 06z across the northern terminals of PR/USVI and
the leeward terminals. Low level winds expected to continue ENE at 7-
15 knots thru 12z...veering ESE afterwards. Gusty winds between 25-
35 kts possible with TSRA".

[categoria5]

INTERESANTE LA DISCUSION

[huracan_1975]

el GFS moviendo una tormenta a 190 horas y siguientes de oeste , al oeste suroeste , y llegando a PR,, ummmm sera verdad ?

[categoria5]

DEJAVU 2004

[huracan_1975]

esto se mueve directo al oeste . que ustedes creen o es mi visión ?

[huracan sur]

Saludos muchachos por aqui presente como de costumbre pendiente al kiosko a estas horas como tambien Rock",

Mirando ambas imagenes tanto shortwave como el radar de martinica, se ve una consolidacion del posible LLC dominante, ya no se ve claramente ese aparente MLC que habia temprano en la noche cerca a la 15.8n y tampoco otro que habia cerca a la 17.2n
Se ve una consolidacion justo o sobre el NNE de Guadalupe, atentos.
Mi opinion muy personal no veo mucho cambio en el proximo TWO que esta por ahi ya, y nuestro 99L todavia tiene el chance de lograrlo, pero si no, ya estamos "curaos de espanto" de los " casi ciclones" a nuestra puerta

[YankeeStorm]

aqui se nota clarito en el radar de Guadalupe http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?214

[huracan_1975]

centro justo en Guadalupe ....

[StormWatch]

El boletin de las 2am 80-90...Ya en breve...