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Ex Depression Tropical Fiona

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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

Viene de camino una clase pelota de SAL...
Agosto sera igualito q años anteriores, PUROOOOOOOO ENTRETENIMIENTO VISUAL

NEXTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
David.79
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 411
Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 10:29 am

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by David.79 »

Si...si, mucho con demasiado polvo.

La Onda que les comentaba mas arriba que debia comenzar a salir para el martes y que olia a Ciclon...hoy es martes y ahi se ve junto a la costa, parece traer empuje si, pero se le ha complicado la cosa con lo de 98L que es casi TD a esta hora y entonces, se le va a trepar encima esa nueva oleada de SAL__No es que no vaya a poder, pero luce un poco cuesta arriba el panorama...debe mantenerse bajita para que se mantenga con vida, la circulacion de 98L la pudiera succionar mas adelante__Entonces...no me hagan mucho caso, pero hay otro tronco de Onda, nuevamente a tres dias de camino, debe asomarse para el Viernes y, no que lo digo yo, pero segun los mapas, y con estas dos barriendo el polvo y proveyendo humedad de sobra, las condiciones estaran mas que adecuadas para desarrollo__So...mantenga la sintonia, ta ta ta taaaam....pendientes al regreso de Gaston!! :lol:
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

Fiona subira y subira y subira ......Pal' norte!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

80%-90%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave centered about 600 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands is beginning to show some signs of organization.
Environmental conditions appear to be favorable for additional
development, and a tropical depression could form on Wednesday.
This system is expected to move toward the west-northwest and then
northwest over the open waters of the central Atlantic during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Forecaster Avila
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

#Invest98L
80%-90%

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

Adios Fiona!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
User avatar
ROCKstormSJ4315
Tormenta Tropical
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Posts: 888
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:09 pm
Location: Hato Rey, San Juan, PR

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by ROCKstormSJ4315 »

A veces es mejor mirar otras imagenes que suelen dejar ver otras cosas que en el "floater" no se ve. Hay dos que me llamaron la atencion: Primero en el 5 Days del NHC. Dele "click"rapido a la opcion "earlier" y "later" y vera algo interesante. Tambien mire "Central Atlantic - Infrared Channel 2 Loop". Tambien compare lo que es el consenso en las graficas de los modelos segun pasan los boletines ( se ven igual de agrupados?) y donde se ve el centro aun no definido, en comparacion a las lineas. Tambien mire la velocidad de movimiento. Aun sigo pensando, como dije antes, que se movera al norte en algun momento, pero me parece que no asi como se ve en las graficas.
"Georgy Girl", The Seekers
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

Sera muyyyyyyyyyyy interasante esta semana y la próxima en el Atlantico! :mrgreen:
Pendientes aqui y en Twitter @CycloforumsPR


Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 98L 60%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Obi-Wan
Moderator
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Posts: 444
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 7:22 pm

Re: Invest 98L 80%-90%

Post by Obi-Wan »

Uno la ve tan bajita en comparación a PR y se resiste a decirle Next, pero el consenso de los modelos está ahí y todo parece indicar que se irá hacia noroeste... :cry:

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