Tormenta tropical Earl
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
Muy interesante tu informe weatherfan, vamos a ver cómo le va en el DMax. Mañana va ser un día interesante .
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
Recuerden que todo sistema pasando al sur de PR no se debe descartar o presumir que no seremos afectados por él mismo.
Yo pienso que la parte mas activa del 97L pasará al sur, pero no me atrevo a descartar nada.
Hasta que no este al oeste nuestro hay que estar pendientes, y aun al oeste nuestro han habido sistemas que han subido por la RD y su cola ha traido grandes problemas a nuestra zona.
Saludos!
Yo pienso que la parte mas activa del 97L pasará al sur, pero no me atrevo a descartar nada.
Hasta que no este al oeste nuestro hay que estar pendientes, y aun al oeste nuestro han habido sistemas que han subido por la RD y su cola ha traido grandes problemas a nuestra zona.
Saludos!
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
El ingrediente necesario para q continue generando energía y fuerza.....AGUAS CALIENTES!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
gracias amigo parece que a subida al recuerden que la parte mas activa de los sistema esta en el norteVillafañe wrote:beleco, tu pendiente en la R.D. no lo pierdas de vista, este se puede desarrollar antes de llegar alla y podria subir un poco mas para ustedes.Veremos.
boleco wrote:parece que dejara mucha lluvia sobre republica dominicana
- ROCKstormSJ4315
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 888
- Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:09 pm
- Location: Hato Rey, San Juan, PR
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
Saludos a todos los amigos foristas:
Por fin veo algun cambio en el lenguaje de los ultimos TWO que pondre en azul para que se vea la diferencia y rojo lo que me parece importante de el ultimo TWO de las 8 PM.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A strong tropical wave located about 550 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph and is accompanied by increasing shower activity. However, surface observations and satellite wind data show that pressures are relatively high in the area and that there are no signs of a circulation. During the next day or two, development should be slow to occur due to the rapid
motion of the system. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola, and
interests in these areas should monitor its progress. By the middle of next week, the disturbance is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions are likely to be more conducive for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave is rapidly moving westward toward the Lesser Antilles.. A cuanto es la velocidad ahora? Although satellite images show a large and well-organized area of thunderstorms (Cambia de "incrased" a un area bien organizada)associated with the wave, there are no signs of a surface circulation(Se quedo igual), and pressures are not falling significantly at this time(Cambio a que esta bajando la prsion pero aun no de forma significativa). This system has the potential for some slow development during the next day or two(No se hace mencion a la limitacion de la velocidad), but the best chance for tropical cyclone formation is likely to be by the middle of next week, when the wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico tonight and Sunday, and then the activity should spread westward across Hispaniola. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Solo mi interpretacion del leguaje y lo comparo con el anterior. Por ser solo mi impresion, esto no debe usarse como una conclusion de alguien experimentado, mas bien mi opinion. Para informacion oficial, refierase a la fuente ofiacial y los expertos en la NOAA.
Por fin veo algun cambio en el lenguaje de los ultimos TWO que pondre en azul para que se vea la diferencia y rojo lo que me parece importante de el ultimo TWO de las 8 PM.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A strong tropical wave located about 550 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph and is accompanied by increasing shower activity. However, surface observations and satellite wind data show that pressures are relatively high in the area and that there are no signs of a circulation. During the next day or two, development should be slow to occur due to the rapid
motion of the system. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola, and
interests in these areas should monitor its progress. By the middle of next week, the disturbance is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where conditions are likely to be more conducive for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave is rapidly moving westward toward the Lesser Antilles.. A cuanto es la velocidad ahora? Although satellite images show a large and well-organized area of thunderstorms (Cambia de "incrased" a un area bien organizada)associated with the wave, there are no signs of a surface circulation(Se quedo igual), and pressures are not falling significantly at this time(Cambio a que esta bajando la prsion pero aun no de forma significativa). This system has the potential for some slow development during the next day or two(No se hace mencion a la limitacion de la velocidad), but the best chance for tropical cyclone formation is likely to be by the middle of next week, when the wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico tonight and Sunday, and then the activity should spread westward across Hispaniola. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Solo mi interpretacion del leguaje y lo comparo con el anterior. Por ser solo mi impresion, esto no debe usarse como una conclusion de alguien experimentado, mas bien mi opinion. Para informacion oficial, refierase a la fuente ofiacial y los expertos en la NOAA.
"Georgy Girl", The Seekers
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L (Vigilancia de inundaciones para PR-IV)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]