Tormenta tropical Earl
Re: Invest 97l con 20%/30%
se esta moviendo mas lento ahora el gfs la pone el lune serca de PR
Re: Invest 97l con 20%/30%
Si, es asi, Veremos.
boleco wrote:se esta moviendo mas lento ahora el gfs la pone el lune serca de PR
Re: Invest 97l con 20%/30%
Villafañe wrote:
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97l con 20%/30%
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is moving westward at 20-25 mph. The associated shower
activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the
system any development should be slow to occur. Regardless of
development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds
to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. By the middle of next
week, the wave is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where
conditions could be more conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is moving westward at 20-25 mph. The associated shower
activity is poorly organized, and given the fast motion of the
system any development should be slow to occur. Regardless of
development, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds
to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
the eastern Caribbean Sea during the weekend. By the middle of next
week, the wave is expected to be in the western Caribbean Sea, where
conditions could be more conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 97l con 10%/30%
Bueno le bajaron a 10% a corto plazo y en mi opinion se ve mejor que ayer, el 30% a 5 dias continua igual. Veremos que pasa.
Re: Invest 97l con 10%/30%
modelo euro pone la onda bien fuerte en PR y RD
-
- Onda Tropical
- Posts: 66
- Joined: Wed Aug 07, 2013 1:32 am
Re: Invest 97l con 10%/30%
Saludos a todos en foro, a los de la vieja guardia y a los nuevos. Se acerca al Caribe una Fuerte Onda Tropical que es el Invest97L. En este momento el Centro Nacional de Huracanes de da 10% de probabilidad de que se convierta en un ciclon tropical en 48 horas y 30% en 5 dias. En mi opinion personal esos porcentajes de probabilidad de desarrollo ciclonico deben aumentar gradualmente mientras este sistema se acerque al Arco de las Antillas Menores. Se desarrolle o no en un ciclon tropical, sus efectos en Puerto Rico y en las Islas Virgenes seran de mucha lluvia y vientos que pudieran estar en el rango de 25 a 35 mph con ragafas mas fuertes entre la noche del Sabado y todo el dia Domingo. Si logra desarrorse ciclonicamente antes de pasar por el area de Puerto Rico y las islas Virgenes, la fuerza de los vientos seran mayores.
Para la informacion oficial del Centro Nacional de Huracanes pueden ir a http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Para la informacion oficial de Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan Puerto Rico pueden ir a http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/
Para la informacion oficial del Centro Nacional de Huracanes pueden ir a http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Para la informacion oficial de Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan Puerto Rico pueden ir a http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/
Re: Invest 97l con 10%/30%
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
-
- Onda Tropical
- Posts: 66
- Joined: Wed Aug 07, 2013 1:32 am
Re: Invest 97l con 10%/30%
Hay un meteorologo aca en Tampa que se llama Denis Phillips que trabaja para ABC Action News y el siempre dice que el EURO es el mejor modelo meteorologico en la Faz de la Tierra. Ya veremos si le hace honor a eso.
-
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Re: Invest 97l con 10%/30%
yo veo el centro de circulación en la 46.8 y en la 14.6 ...
solo es opinión ....
solo es opinión ....