CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

Saludos a todos... Algunos modelos comienzan a ver un posible desarrollo ciclónico de la área que se encuentra en la 30w cuando llegue a la 45w aproximadamente. Se abre el tópico para dar seguimiento.

Pintura Amarilla. 1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of low pressure could form in the central or western
tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week. Some development of this
system is possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during
the early to middle part of next week and moves generally
west-northwestward toward the Greater Antilles thereafter.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Pintura Amarilla. 1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of low pressure could form in the central or western
tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week. Some development of this
system is possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during
the early to middle part of next week and moves generally
west-northwestward toward the Greater Antilles thereafter.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Hay que comenzar a mirar de cerca este posible ciclón, las ultimas corridas del GFS han sido huracán sobre Puerto Rico y el Europeo acaba de pasar el sistema cómo Tormentas cerca al sur de Puerto Rico entrando a R.D. Es muy pronto saber que pasará, pero aquí estaremos vigilantes por la eventualidad que tengamos que enfrentar un huracán. Lo importante que ya para estas fechas debemos de estar preparados. Si no tenemos que enfrentar ciclon mucho mejor, pero si nos toca enfrentar alguno hay que estar bien preparados.

Me preocupa una intecificacion rápida ,además que la ruta se ve peligrosa,en alerta con ustedes.

Guarican wrote: ↑Thu Aug 08, 2024 6:45 am Me preocupa una intecificacion rápida ,además que la ruta se ve peligrosa,en alerta con ustedes.

Saludos Guarican, ya entramos al mes de agosto y eso que mencionas de una intensificación rápida es una posibilidad , hay que estar muy pendientes al posible desarrollo de un desarrollo ciclónico de esta área de mal tiempo.

Sube a 0% a 30% a 7 dias. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located over South Carolina.

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of low pressure could form in the central or western
tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week. Some development of this
system is possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during
the early to middle part of next week and moves generally
west-northwestward toward the Greater Antilles thereafter.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi

As of 2:00 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024...
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any
development of the wave should be slow to occur during the next few
days while it moves westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development
early next week, and a tropical depression could form while it
approaches the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast to move
generally west-northwestward and could approach the Greater Antilles
by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent

Los modelos de computadoras continúan viendo posible desarrollo ciclónico del area en vigilancia , los mismos están fluctuando en intensidad, sin embargo existe una potencial amenaza para el noreste del Caribe y por lo tanto hay que estar muy pendiente a la evolución del área de mal tiempo destacanda.