CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

Saludos amigos foristas, tenemos otro potencial ciclón tropical cerca de 30w según NHC con 30% y 70% a 7 días, rumbo al Caribe.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:


2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle of next week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Vieron la corrida del GFS de este futuro sistema,

Parece agosto esto y solo es junio , pues varios modelos desarrollan esta baja presión en ciclón tropical y lo pasan muy cerca o sobre Puerto Rico con sus diferentes soluciones, así que seguimos activados y vigilante en el trópico.

Caboverde2023 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 29, 2024 8:50 pm Vieron la corrida del GFS de este futuro sistema,

Saludos Caboverde2023.
Son varios modelos con soluciones parecidas al GFS, los HAFS A y B también lo tienen bien cerca entre otros. Veremos

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:


2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Roberts

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located near the Windward Islands and have issued the last
advisory on the Remnants of Chris, located inland over eastern
Mexico.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located over 1000 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western tropical
Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Kelly

Esta floja la cosa con este, vamos a ver si le echa ganas.