CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

Amplia onda tropical esta localizada en el centro del Atlantico... tiene cierto giro pero no parece definido

muy dificil que logre desarrollarse y en caso de yo pienso que debe ser bastante debil
modelos que la desarrollan son
ICON
CMC
UKM lo muestra con buena vorticidad entrando al caribe

Lo que se va a tirar al charco próximamente....

megadicto wrote: ↑Fri Aug 14, 2020 4:51 pm Lo que se va a tirar al charco próximamente....

Esa es otra muy buena megadicto anteriormente el modelo EURO y algunos de los conjuntos estaban bien animados con esa onda hay que mantenerse viginadola cuando toque el atlantico

Esta onda tropical es poco probable de que se desarrolle antes de llegar a las antillas... quisas lo logre luego en el caribe central u occidental

pero algo que si dejara sera bastante lluvia que seria un buen aporte para aliviar la sequia

Estas imagenes son del modelo UKM solo llegan a 144h

Se gana su pintura amarilla

1. A westward-moving tropical wave located over the central tropical
Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is
currently producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
However, upper-level winds are expected to become a little more
conducive for development by the middle of next week as the
disturbance approaches the central and southern Lesser Antilles
and moves into the eastern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Josephine, located a couple of hundred miles northeast of San
Juan, Puerto Rico. The National Hurricane Center has issued the
last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle, located several hundred
miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

1. A fast-moving tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the
Windward Islands is producing a small area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move westward at
about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast speed is likely
to limit development while the system approaches the Windward and
southern Leeward Islands today and Monday and moves across the
eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. After that time, the system is
expected to move more slowly westward across the central and western
Caribbean Sea, and upper-level winds could be conducive for
development during the middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Another tropical wave located just west of the coast of Africa is
producing a large area of cloudiness and showers. This wave is
forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days,
and some development will be possible by the middle to latter part
of the week as environmental conditions become more conducive while
the system is over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Brown

Finalmente parece estar arropándose de convección fuerte. Creo que le aumentan los % a las 2 pm.

Por aquí voyyyyyyy!

hurrizonepr wrote: ↑Sun Aug 16, 2020 1:01 pm Finalmente parece estar arropándose de convección fuerte. Creo que le aumentan los % a las 2 pm.

Bingo...

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Josephine, located a couple of hundred miles
north-northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with
a fast-moving tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the
Windward Islands. This system is expected to move westward at
about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast speed is
likely to limit significant development while the system approaches
the Windward and southern Leeward Islands Monday, and moves across
the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. After that time, the system
is expected to move more slowly westward across the central and
western Caribbean Sea, and upper-level winds could be conducive for
development during the middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown

Este es el 97L


Invest 97L
As of 18:00 UTC Aug 16, 2020:

Location: 12.3°N 50.6°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: nan kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009 mb