CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

Sistema que saldría de África tiene potencial ciclónico

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
by Saturday. Some slow development of this system is possible early
next week as it moves quickly westward across the low latitudes of
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Por ahora no parece que tendra problemas con polvo del sahara

modelo UKM
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.5N 39.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.09.2018 108 11.9N 41.3W 1007 36
1200UTC 25.09.2018 120 12.7N 44.6W 1004 41
0000UTC 26.09.2018 132 13.6N 46.8W 1001 47
1200UTC 26.09.2018 144 14.5N 48.8W 995 53

Arlequín wrote: ↑Thu Sep 20, 2018 1:46 pm Sistema que saldría de África tiene potencial ciclónico

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
by Saturday. Some slow development of this system is possible early
next week as it moves quickly westward across the low latitudes of
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Por ahora no parece que tendra problemas con polvo del sahara

modelo UKM
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.5N 39.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.09.2018 108 11.9N 41.3W 1007 36
1200UTC 25.09.2018 120 12.7N 44.6W 1004 41
0000UTC 26.09.2018 132 13.6N 46.8W 1001 47
1200UTC 26.09.2018 144 14.5N 48.8W 995 53

Ese cono de formación casi llega a las Antillas

Estamos pendiente, septiembre siempre es peligroso.

Del TWO 8 PM ( 10-40%)
"A tropical wave is moving off the coast of Guinea in western Africa.
Some slow but gradual development of this system is possible during
the next several days as the disturbance moves westward at 15 to 20
mph across the low latitudes of the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent."

TWO 2am- Sube a 50% en 5 días

A tropical wave located more than 700 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days as the disturbance moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the low latitudes of the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Estimados foristas: segun veo con mis ojos de aficionado a la meteorologia, me parece que el Invest 99L esta experimentando un aumento en conveccion y en tamaño. Saludos a todos, Abito.

Estimados todos, en mi Post anterior, no salio la siguiente frase,"Esinteresante que estando tan lejos al sur-este del Caribe, ya fue designada por el National Hurricane Center como Invest 99L y con 50 porciento de probalidades de desarrollo . Saludos, Manuel..