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Tormenta Kirk

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Arlequín
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Tormenta Kirk

Post by Arlequín »

Sistema que saldría de África tiene potencial ciclónico

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
by Saturday. Some slow development of this system is possible early
next week as it moves quickly westward across the low latitudes of
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent


Por ahora no parece que tendra problemas con polvo del sahara
Image
modelo UKM
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.5N 39.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.09.2018 108 11.9N 41.3W 1007 36
1200UTC 25.09.2018 120 12.7N 44.6W 1004 41
0000UTC 26.09.2018 132 13.6N 46.8W 1001 47
1200UTC 26.09.2018 144 14.5N 48.8W 995 53
Last edited by Arlequín on Sun Sep 23, 2018 11:11 pm, edited 9 times in total.
StormWatch
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Re: Sistema saliendo de Africa... 0%-20%

Post by StormWatch »

Arlequín wrote: Thu Sep 20, 2018 1:46 pm Sistema que saldría de África tiene potencial ciclónico

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
by Saturday. Some slow development of this system is possible early
next week as it moves quickly westward across the low latitudes of
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent


Por ahora no parece que tendra problemas con polvo del sahara
Image
modelo UKM
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.5N 39.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.09.2018 108 11.9N 41.3W 1007 36
1200UTC 25.09.2018 120 12.7N 44.6W 1004 41
0000UTC 26.09.2018 132 13.6N 46.8W 1001 47
1200UTC 26.09.2018 144 14.5N 48.8W 995 53
Ese cono de formación casi llega a las Antillas :mrgreen:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Villafañe
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Re: Sistema saliendo de Africa... 0%-20%

Post by Villafañe »

Estamos pendiente, septiembre siempre es peligroso.
hurrizonepr
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Re: Sistema saliendo de Africa... 0%-20%

Post by hurrizonepr »

Del TWO 8 PM ( 10-40%)
"A tropical wave is moving off the coast of Guinea in western Africa.
Some slow but gradual development of this system is possible during
the next several days as the disturbance moves westward at 15 to 20
mph across the low latitudes of the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent."
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Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 10%-40%

Post by Vigilante »

Image
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
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Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 10%-40%

Post by Vigilante »

Image
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
User avatar
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Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 10%-40%

Post by Vigilante »

Image
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
BAYANEY
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Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 10%-40%

Post by BAYANEY »

TWO 2am- Sube a 50% en 5 días

A tropical wave located more than 700 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days as the disturbance moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the low latitudes of the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Abito
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Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 10%-40%

Post by Abito »

Estimados foristas: segun veo con mis ojos de aficionado a la meteorologia, me parece que el Invest 99L esta experimentando un aumento en conveccion y en tamaño. Saludos a todos, Abito.
Abito
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Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 10%-40%

Post by Abito »

Estimados todos, en mi Post anterior, no salio la siguiente frase,"Esinteresante que estando tan lejos al sur-este del Caribe, ya fue designada por el National Hurricane Center como Invest 99L y con 50 porciento de probalidades de desarrollo . Saludos, Manuel..
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