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Invest 99L (Norte de PR)
Posted: Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:20 pm
by Vigilante
El modelo GFS muestra un evento de lluvia con flujo del suroeste para luego del día 20. El SNM levanta bandera al respecto en su AFD que publicó ahora en la tarde (1:07 pm).
Actualización domingo 16: habíamos titulado el tópico como "Evento de lluvia para PR-RD", pero optamos por cambiarlo ya que el área de mal tiempo que comenzó a ser observada por el CNH sería una de las causantes del evento de lluvia, aunque por el momento de manera indirecta.
Operational models are suggesting a wetter pattern for the second
part of next week...as a frontal boundary interacts with an upper
level trough/TUTT. If this wet pattern materializes...environmental
conditions will support organize convection across the local region.
GFS 12z:
Re: Posible evento de lluvia para la próxima semana
Posted: Thu Oct 13, 2016 4:23 pm
by boleco
aqui estoy luego de un poco de tiempo perdido estube mirando los modelo y prometen mucha lluvia
Re: Posible evento de lluvia para la próxima semana
Posted: Fri Oct 14, 2016 3:34 am
by Georges_98
Hay demasiada humedad en el Caribe Sur/Central. Esas condiciones, en este período del año, suelen producir bastante actividad. No descartemos la formación de eventos ciclónicos todavía.
Re: Posible evento de lluvia para la próxima semana
Posted: Sat Oct 15, 2016 10:47 am
by boleco
Re: Posible evento de lluvia para la próxima semana
Posted: Sat Oct 15, 2016 11:43 am
by boleco
modelo gfs pone mucha humeda a 42 hora en la isla PR Y RD CUBA AHITI Y JAMAICA
Re: Posible evento de lluvia para la próxima semana
Posted: Sat Oct 15, 2016 9:13 pm
by Vigilante
De la discusión (AFD) del SNM, hoy sábado 15.
The moisture is expected to increase early next week, which
brings a better chance of showers and thunderstorm across the
region. A surface low is expected to develop over Bahamas with
another surface low expected to develop across the southwestern
Caribbean by Tuesday. These features will cause a wind shift to
the southeast late Monday into Tuesday and for the rest of the
week. This shift in wind direction will also cause deeper moisture
to move into the area from the south, which may combine with an
approaching upper low on Tuesday. If this situation materialize,
will cause an increase in shower and thunderstorm potential over
the local area from Tuesday until at least Thursday
Re: Posible evento de lluvia para la próxima semana
Posted: Sat Oct 15, 2016 10:46 pm
by boleco
mucha lluvia modelo nam a 75 hora
Re: Posible evento de lluvia para la próxima semana
Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2016 8:41 am
by Vigilante
Re: Disturbio sobre Bahamas 10%-20%
Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2016 8:44 am
by Vigilante
Discusión de la mañana del SNM:
The moisture is expected to increase early this week,bringing a
better chance of showers and thunderstorm across the region. A
surface low is expected to develop over Bahamas with another
surface low expected to develop across the southwestern Caribbean
by Tuesday. These features will cause a wind shift to the
southeast late Monday into Tuesday and for the rest of the week.
This shift in wind direction will also cause deeper moisture to
move into the area from the south, which may combine with an
approaching upper low on Tuesday. If this situation materialize,
will cause an increase in shower and thunderstorm potential over
the local area from Tuesday until at least Thursday.
Re: Disturbio sobre Bahamas 10%-20%
Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2016 10:52 am
by boleco
